经济增长与环境关系生态足迹视角.pdfVIP

一-1rJ前嘀殖FORWARD FORUM 经济增氏与环境关系:生态足迹视角 钱文娟贺灿飞 (北京大学城市与环境学院，北京 100871) 摘要:从生态足迹视角出发，采的数据探讨我因经济增长与资源环城压力之间的关系。对生态足 迹各个构成项的分析农明，煤、石油、天然气和电的消耗在各项中增长最快，要控制我阁生态足珑的持续增大，必 须严格控制能源消耗增长途率。回归分析结果则表明，在我阁语境下，宏观念义牛的资源环境综合压力，符合环境 感兹涅茨曲线假设，我国资源坏境压力随着我国人均GDP的增长出现倒 U 形:同时，我国当前面临特殊的国际 背景，必须采取有效乎段进一步控制经济发展对资源环境的压力，否则倒 U 形曲线将转向环境质量再次降低的 N 形伪线。 关键词3 经济增长:环境感兹涅*-钩线:生态足迹:协整检验 文献引用:钱文婿，贺灿飞.经济增长与环境关系:生态足迹视角[J].生态经济， 2010(10): 24-29. 中阁分费号: F205; F062.2 文献标识码:A The Relationship of Economic Growth and Environment: from the Perspective of Ecological Foo叩rint QIAN Wenjing , HE Canfei (College ofUrban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China) Abstract: This paper aims at studying the relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation, using the data of 1952-2007 of China, based on ecological footprint , a more comprehensive measure of environment degradation. Making a 民lrther decomposition of ecological footprint , it suggests that, in China, coal , oil , natural gas and electrícity are most responsible for the increasing ecologícal footprint , which must be strictly controlled. In the regression analysis , it is found that the stress on environment and natural resource in China echoes the EKC theory, as it presents the inverted u shaped curve. However, due to special intemational and local background , China must effectively control the environmental stress from economic growth to prevent the ínverted u shaped EKC curve from transformíng into the N shaped curve. Ke