基于模糊Bernardo理论的联合体投标不确定博弈合作决策.pdfVIP

总第80期第9期 TOTEL No.80 中国水能及电气化 CHINA WATER POWER ELECTRIFICATION 2011 年9月 Sep. , 2011 基于模糊Bernardo 理论的 联合体投标不确定博弈合作决策 姚若军 (1.华能西藏发电有限公司，四川成都 610017; 2. 四川大学水电学院，四川成都 61(065) 摘 要:组成联合体参与工程投标属于不确定博弈合作，合作环境具有较大的不确定性，决策 者经验也具有模糊性。应用模糊 Bemardo 决策理论，考虑模糊事件的可信性测度，将联合体博 弈合作问题转化为模糊机会约束的规划问题，具有普适性。这种决策方法也可针对联合体目标 不同，对联合体博弈合作决策作自适应调整。 关键词:联合体投标;模糊 Bemardo 群决策;博弈合作;自适应调整 Decision Making on Undetermined Cooperative Game of Consortium Bidding Based on Obscure Bernardo Theory 1 YAO Ruo-jun , 2 (1. Tibetan Branch 0/ China Huaneng Group, Chengdu City, Sichz刷丹ovince 610017, China 2. Sichuan University, lnstitute 0/ Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Chengdu City, Sichuan 丹ωi时e 610065, China) Abslracl: Engineering bidding by consortium belongs to undetermined cooperative game , since the cooperative environment has great nondeterminacy , and the experience of decision makers has certain fuzziness. There is universality for making use of obscure Bemardo decision theo町， considering the credibility measure of fuzzy event, and tuming the cooperative game of consortium into the planning of obscure chance constraint. Such decision making method could be self -adaption adjustment on cooperative game decision making of consortium in line with the different target of consortium. Key words: consortium biddin