跨国公司DUP对东道国FDI质量影响——基于博弈均衡分析.pdfVIP

无锡商业职业技术学院学报 2012 年 10 月 Oct. 2012 第 12 卷第5 期 Journal of Wuxi Institute of Commerce Vo 1.12 No.5 [经济研究] 影 跨国公司 DUP 对东 国 FDI 质 基于博弈均衡分析 方祷挽 (中南财经政法大学工商管理学院湖北武汉 430074) 摘 要:文章运用数理模型、演绎推理方法展示 DUP 对 FDI 质量的影响路径，指出跨国公司 DUP 对 FDI 质量存在以下影响:FDI 实际变速大于无 DUP 时的政府预期，放大政府对经济的干预;当 FDI 规模增加 时，投资项目的平均规模减小，小型投资项目比重增加，FDI 结构发生不利变动;小型投资项目变这较快， 加剧了投资波动，导致整体 FDI 质量下降，对东道国经济稳定增长贡献率降低。 关键词:跨国公司 ;DUP;FDI 质量;博弈均衡分析 中图分类号:F 276.7 文献标识码:A 文章编号:1671-4806(2012)05-∞01-04 The Effect of Transnational Corporations DUP on Host Country s FDI Quality: A Game Equilibrium Analysis FANG Yi-ni (School of Business Administration , Zho吨nan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan , 43∞74， China) Abstract: This paper Using mathematical models and deductive reasoning , this paper reveals that the mechanism of DUP exerts inf1uence on quality of FDI in the following ways: (1) When the actual variable speed of FDI is greater than the government has expected under the circumstance of no DUP, the government s intervention on economy would be assumed to be more strict. (2) When FDI scale increases, when the average size of investment projects decreases , and when small-scale investment projects proportionally increases , FDI structure has adverse changes. (3)The dramatically faster investment f1uctuations of small investment projects deteriorates the quality of FDI , which in turn contributes less to the host country s stable economic growth. Key words: transnational corporations; DUP; quality of FDI; gam