pre_郑乐乐.pdfVIP

Who Will Stay in the FLOSS Community? Modeling Participant’s Initial Behavior Abstract  Motivation: FLOSS projects need contributors to accomplish critical tasks  Aim: measure, understand and predict how the newcomers’ involvement and environment in the ITS affect their odds of becoming an LTC  Method: ITS data of Mozilla and Gnome, literature, interviews, and online documents were used to design measures of involvement and environment. A logistic regression model was used to explain and predict contributor’s odds of becoming an LTC  Results: We constructed nine measures of involvement and environment based on events recorded in an ITS. There are five results which we will describe in detail in part 8  Conclusions: The findings suggest the importance of initial behaviors and experiences of new participants and outline empirically-based approaches to help the communities with the recruitment of contributors for long-term participation and to help the participants contribute more effectively. 1.Introduction  ITS-issue tracking system: The ITS records the history of how people initiate and complete various tasks in software projects. Such detailed data may contain traces of behavior that indicate if a new participant will continue to contribute for a long time.  Contributors: any participant in the ITS  The starters vs experienced ones : pShared+PeerPerf  LTC-long term contributors: Time and Productivity  Why we want to predict LTCs?: refer to conclusions on last page 2. Related work  Relevant predictors and their derivation: motivation-related concepts and environmental variables from interviews, surveys, online project documents, and online discussion groups  Measures derived from ITS data: the number of completed issues measuring team effort, the number of defects fixed measuring individual performanc