gray prediction model based on logistics and demand forecasts in guangxi（灰色预测模型基于广西物流和需求预测）.docVIP

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gray prediction model based on logistics and demand forecasts in guangxi（灰色预测模型基于广西物流和需求预测）.doc

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gray prediction model based on logistics and demand forecasts in guangxi（灰色预测模型基于广西物流和需求预测）

Gray prediction model based on logistics and demand forecasts in Guangxi [Abstract] The use of gray GM (1,1) prediction model theory, according to the statistical data to establish the logistics demand model and the scale of Guangxi, logistics needs of the next few years was predicted, to a certain extent, able to quantify development of logistics industry in Guangxi based on the forecast results show a steady increase in Guangxi, logistics demand trend. [Keywords] GM (1,1) model, the logistics demand, forecast 1 Introduction Logistics as a product from production to consumption for efficient organization and management methods, is widely considered after following the production and marketing, “the third profit source.” Logistics industry in many countries as an important part of the national economy and the process of industrialization in the most economical mode of service, is developing rapidly worldwide, becoming a huge potential for development of new industries. Guangxi, the development of modern logistics has excellent conditions one unique port conditions. Gulf port rich in resources, Fangchenggang, Qinzhou, Beihai, Guangxi and the coastal areas of Iron Mountain in Hong Kong constitute a natural deep water port group, with the building of 300 million tons integrated of the great port of natural conditions. Second, the advantage of Guangxi is located in the China - ASEAN Free Trade Area, ASEAN is China’s bridgehead and for opening up an important window is the Pan Pearl River Delta economic circle and the economic circle the center of the combination of the Southwest Department, is an important transport hub in southwest, to the sea. Third, the political and policy advantage. With the Mainland and Hong Kong Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA signing of the China - ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFIA substantial start, Pan Triangle Economic Cooperation (PECO) promulgation of Guangxi ushered in a golden opportunity for the strategic