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the risks we dread a social circle account我们害怕一个社交圈帐户的风险
The Risks We Dread: A Social Circle Account
1 2
Mirta Galesic *, Rocio Garcia-Retamero
1 Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany, 2 Department of Experimental Psychology, University of
Granada, Spain
Abstract
What makes some risks dreadful? We propose that people are particularly sensitive to threats that could kill the number of
people that is similar to the size of a typical human social circle. Although there is some variability in reported sizes of social
circles, active contact rarely seems to be maintained with more than about 100 people. The loss of this immediate social
group may have had survival consequences in the past and still causes great distress to people today. Therefore we
hypothesize that risks that threaten a much larger number of people (e.g., 1000) will not be dreaded more than those that
threaten to kill ‘‘only’’ the number of people typical for social circles. We found support for this hypothesis in 9 experiments
using different risk scenarios, measurements of fear, and samples from different countries. Fear of risks killing 100 people
was higher than fear of risks killing 10 people, but there was no difference in fear of risks killing 100 or 1000 people
(Experiments 1–4, 7–9). Also in support of the hypothesis, the median number of deaths that would cause maximum level of
fear was 100 (Experiments 5 and 6). These results are not a consequence of lack of differentiation between the numbers 100
and 1000 (Experiments 7 and 8), and are different from the phenomenon of ‘‘psychophysical numbing’’ that occurs in the
context of altruistic behavior towards members of other commun
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