果蝇模型在煤与瓦斯突出危险中的预警.pdfVIP

第34 卷第3 期 辽宁工程技术大学学报（自然科学版） 2015 年3 月 Vol.34 No.3 Journal of Liaoning Technical University （Natural Science ） Mar. 2015 孙明,郑文翔,段晓博.果蝇模型在煤与瓦斯突出危险中的预警[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报: 自然科学版,2015,34(3):315-318. doi:10.11956/j.issn. 1008-0562.2015.03.006 Sun Ming, Zheng Wenxiang, Duan Xiaobo.Warning research on coal-gas outburst risk FOA model[J].Journal of Liaoning Technical University:Natural Science,2015,34(3):315-318. doi:10.11956/j.issn.1008-0562.2015.03.006 果蝇模型在煤与瓦斯突出危险中的预警 孙 明，郑文翔，段晓博 （内蒙古科技大学煤炭学院，内蒙古 包头 014010 ） 摘 要：为提高煤与瓦斯突出预测的准确性，采用线性回归模型选择了瓦斯压力、坚固性系数和破坏类型作为控 制指标，选择残差分析模型构建了突出回归数据库并以三维火柴杆图来展现.结果表明：以“个体嗅觉探测”和 “群体视觉靠拢”为指导思想，获得了安全型、危险型和突出型突出危险评估指数的确定方法.应用煤与瓦斯突 出危险评估指数对突出实例进行回代判别，预测结果基本符合工程实践，具有乐观的可信性和客观的应用性. 关键词：煤与瓦斯突出；突出危险性；线性回归；残差分析；果蝇优化算法 中图分类号：X 936 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1008-0562(2015)03-0315-04 Warning research on coal-gas outburst risk FOA model SUN Ming, ZHENG Wenxiang, DUAN Xiaobo (School of coal science and engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou, Inner Mongolia 014010, China) Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of coal-gas outburst, this paper utilized the linear regression model to take the gas pressure, the sturdiness coefficient and the damage type as the control index, and the residual analysis model to get the different 39 instances as the test samples. In addition, the outburst regression samples were mapped on the three dimension matchstick diagram. With the ideas “individual smell detection” and “group visual close”, the safe, the danger and the outburst fruit fly optimization model are applied to calculate the rating index. The misjudgment ratio is zero, and the prediction result meets the requirement of practical