InStat 2009 物联网峰会.pdf

In-Stat 2009 物联网峰会 In-Stat 2009 物联网峰会 1 回顾和展望：2009和2010十大预测 Anty Zheng General Manager In-Stat China Nov 26th , 2009 2 2009 Ten Forecasts: Success and Fail Successful Forecasts 1. WCDMA will be deployed in over 30 cities nationwide. The total WCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 2.5 million by the end of 2009. 2. Two-way reconstruction will exceed 15% of the total DTV users. In 2009, the base of digital cable TV subscribers will reach 60 million 3. Satellite TV will attract more than 10 million viewers by Zhong-xing-9. Chinese government has invested 3.4 billion RMB in order to purchase 14 million satellite TV STBs. 4. GPS function will be more and more embedded in Smartphones. In-Stat predicts that nearly 50% of high-end Smartphone will support GPS in 2009, and increasing mobile users prefer personal navigation through GPS phone instead of PND. 5. Application store will become one of 3G killer business model in 2009. In-Stat predicts that CMCC will release its application store. 6. The web gaming will gain momentum with a 65% of growth in the industry. The leading game vendors such as SNDA, Kingsoft and The9 will launch more web games. In-Stat forecasts that revenue for web gaming in 2009 will reach US$244 million with a 65% of growth rate. 7. Only a few online SNSs in China will survive in 2009 Failed Forecasts 1. TD-SCDMA’s take-off depends on the development of Data Cards. The total TD-SCDMA subscribers are expected to exceed 4 million by the end of 2009, over 1 million of which will be TD- HSDPA/EDGE