泥石流危险度的改进集对分析模型.PDFVIP

18 6 Vo.l 18 No. 6 2009 12 JOURNAL OF NATURAL D ISASTERS Dec. 2009 : 1004- 4 74( 2009) 06- 0124- 0 1 2 1 汪明武 , 李 丽, 金菊良 ( 1. , 230009; 2. , 230009 ) : , , , , , , , , , , : ; ; ; : P64223 : A An im proved set pair analysis m odel for evaluation of dangerou s degree of debris f low 1 2 1 WANG M ing-wu , LI Li, JIN Ju- liang ( 1. School of Civil Eng ineering, H efe iU niversity of Technology, H efei 230009, China; 2. School ofR esources and Environm ental Engineering, H efeiUniversity of Techno logy, H efei 230009, China) Abs tract: The dangerous degree evaluation of debris flow is a foundation for the disaster control and engineering measures. How ever, the evaluation of dangerous degree of debris flow is a very complicate and uncertainty prob- lem. An mi proved model for the dangerous degree evaluation using the theory of set pair analysis ( SPA ) w as dis- cussed in this paper. The basic principle is that the identical- d ifferent- contrary is defined by an approaching de- gree betw een themeasured index values of sample and correspond ing index of standard sets of the dangerous de- gree. A model for datam in ing in d iscrepancy coefficient using the concept of the fuzzy degree of connectionw as in- vestigated during the procedure of SPA. And the useful dataw asm ined between the samp le and adjacent d iscussed grade. Then the relativemembership degree to each grade w as calculated, and the dangerous degree of debris flow w as predicted quanti