泰安交通系统抗震可靠性分析.PDFVIP

25 6 V o l. 25, N o. 6 2005 12 EARTHQUAKE ENG INEER ING AND ENG INEER ING V IBRAT ION D ec. 2005 : 1000- 1301 2005) 06- 0189- 05 1 2 3 姜淑珍 , 李 倩 , 柳春光 1. , 150080; 2. , 150040; 3. , 116024) : , ; M onte Car lo , , , , : ; ; : P315. 95 : A Reliab ility analy sis of tran sportation system in Taian C ity 1 2 3 J iang Shuzhen , L i Q ian , L iu Chunguang 1. In stitute of Engin eeringM echan ics, C h ina E arthqu ake A dm in istrat ion, H arb in 150080, C h ina; 2. N ortheastern Forestry U nivers ity, H arb in 150040, C hina; 3. S chool of C ivil and H ydrau lic Engin eering, D alian U n iversity of T echn ique, D alian 116024, Ch in a) Abs tract: In th is paper, based on the theory o f netwo rk reliab ility, the seism ic ana lysis o f newt ork m ode l of trans- portation system in T aian is studied. M onte Carlo random smi ulat ion technology is u sed to analyze the seism ic re lia- b ility o f transportation system in T aian, hav ing experienced d ifferent intensities. M oreover, som e w eak links are found to o ffer the theory basis fo r prevent ion and m it igation o f d isaster in T aian C ity. K ey w ord s: transportat ion system; netw ork; re liability , , , , , , , 1995 , , , , , , , 1 , , : 2005- 05- 28; : 2005- 06- 30 : : 195 1- ) , , , . 190 25 , , 50% , , , , ,