未确知测度模型在水生态文明评价中的应用.doc

未确知测度模型在水生态文明评价中的 应用 河南水利投资集团有限公司河南省水环境治理与生 态修复院士工作站安徽省招标集团股份有限公司 华北水利水电大学 以城市水生态文明建设成果为评价对象，结合城市水生态建设的特点，参照《山 东省水生态文明城市评价标准》(DB37/T 2172—2012)，从水资源、水环境、 水生态、水文化、水管理5个方而选取了 23项指标构建评价指标体系，利用未 确知测度模型进行评价。在未确知测度模型构建上，引入了改进的熵权理论，有 效克服了以往相关研究存在的主观赋值的弊端。为验证该模型的有效性，对 2015年洛阳市水生态文明城市建设现状进行了评价，结果表明:洛阳市水生态 文明建设总体效果为良，其屮在水资源、水环境、水生态和水管理建设方面效果 尤为显著，水文化建设效果不甚理想;得出的结论基本符合该市建设现状，验证 了该方法的科学性、合理性和可操作性。 关键词： 水资源;水环境;水生态;未确知测度模型;改进的嫡权模型; 罗涛(1974—)，男，河南周口人，高级工程师，主要从事水利工程 建设投融资方面的工作。E-mail: luotao741208@126. com 2017-02-24 基金：2016年河南省科技厅产学研合作项B (162107000050) Application of Uncertainty Measurement Model in Evaluation of Water Ecological Civilization City Construction LUO Tao YU Chunsong GUO Lei WANG Lunyan LI Huimin Henan Water Conservancy Investment Group Co.， Ltd; Anhui Tendering Group Inc. ; Water Environment Governance and Ecological Restoration Academician Workstation of Henan Province; Abstract： Taking the achievements of urban water ecological civilization building as an evaluation object, comb ini ng the characteristics of ur-ban water ecological building and referring to “The Standards of Urban Evaluation in Shandong Province” (DB37/T 2172—2012) ， this pa-pcr selected 23 evaluation indexes from 5 aspects of water resources, water environment, water ecology, water culture and water managementto build the evaluation index system and used unascertained measure model to evaluate the water ecological building. On the basis of the unas-certained measure model, it introduced the improved entropy weight theory, which effectively overcame the shortcomings of previous relatedresearches. In order to verify the validity of the model, this paper evaluated the present situation of water ecological civilization in LuoyangCity in 2015. The results show that the overall objective evaluation of water ecological civilization in Luoyang is good, and the effect of watcrrcsourccs, water environment, water ecology and water management are particularly remarkable, and the result of water culture const