广州和深圳经济发展状况的对比研究—基于三次产业结构与经济增长关系的实证分析.docVIP

广州和深圳经济发展状况的对比研究—基于三次产业结构与经济增长关系的实证分析 文章引用: 姜信硕, 尹玉良. 广州和深圳经济发展状况的对比研究[J]. 统计学与应用, 2016, 5(2): 80-88. //dx.doi.org/10.12677/sa.2016.52010 The Comparison of the Economic Development between Guangzhou and Shenzhen ?Based on Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Three Industrial Structure and Economic Growth Xinshuo Jiang, Yuliang Yin Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing Received: May 24th, 2016; accepted: Jun. 13th, 2016; published: Jun. 17th, 2016 Copyright ?? 2016 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). Abstract Since reform and opening up, Guangdong province GDP has been the No. 1 in China for 30 years, during which time Guangzhou stands first place in gross regional product of the prov- ince. However, with rapid economic development of Shenzhen, it takes first place of regional per capital GDP of China in 2014. In 2015, the GDP growth of Shenzhen is higher than the na- tional 2.0 percent and the province 0.9 percent respectively. So the comparison of the regional economic development between Guangzhou and Shenzhen becomes a hot issue in economic circle. This article selects regional GDP and three major industries series data of Guangzhou and Shenzhen respectively. From the perspective of the relationship between three major in- dustries structure and economic growth, using cointegration test and error correction model, two region comparison research in the economic development of Guangzhou and Shenzhen, this paper analyzes the economic development in Guangdong province, and finds Guangzhou and Shenzhen’s comparative advantages. The results show that the two areas between GDP and three industrial exist long-term equilibrium and short-term stable relationship, and Shenzhen has the potential to surpass Guangzhou as the main engine of economic growth of Guangdong for some time. Keywords Economic