毕业论文我国进出口贸易对国内通货膨胀的影响研究.doc

毕业论文(设计) 论文题目： 论我国进出口贸易对国内通货膨胀的影响 学生姓名： ） 学 号： ） 专 业： 国际经济与贸易 ） 班 级： ） 指导教师： ） 完成日期：2014 年 5 月 10 日论我国进出口贸易对国内通货膨胀的影响 中 文 摘 要 近年来伴随着我国进出口贸易的不断发展，贸易顺差的不断扩大，出现了一系列的通货膨胀，物价持续上涨。 进出口贸易与国内通货膨胀关系密切。举例2007年与2008年，进出口贸易总额分别21765.7亿美元与25632.6，环比分别为23.6%与17.8%，持续走高，与之相伴的是通胀环比持续高涨——2007年与2008年CPI上涨分别为4.8%与5.9%；而在2009年，受世界经济危机影响，进出口受阻，环比下跌13.9%，CPI指数则相应下跌0.7%——几乎到了亦步亦趋的地步。通过数据关联可以看出，目前导致通货膨胀的各项因素仍在继续发力，进出口贸易的增长为整个国民经济的增长做了重要的贡献，但它对通货膨胀的影响是不可忽视的。 本文基于对我国进出口贸易与国内通货膨胀的现状分析，着眼于研究进出口贸易对我国通货膨胀的影响机理，并提出针对性解决建议。 关键词：进出口贸易 通货膨胀 CPI The Impact of Chinas Import and Export Trade on Domestic Inflation Abstract In recent years, with the continuous development of import and export trade, the expansion of the trade surplus, appear a series of inflation, prices continue to rise, inflation pressure is more and more big. Chinas inflationary pressure has penetrated to the middle of 2013.From the point of quarter, in the fourth quarter of 2012 growth below 9.4% in the third quarter, GDP in the second quarter of 2012 the median forecast dropped to 9.0%.In the first half of 2011 Chinas export growth fell back quickly mainly affected by the decline in export cargo, and the growth rate of imports fell back quickly is mostly affected by the lower import prices.And with the import and export trade related index volatility, China in March 2012, the CPI rise is expected to reach 4.5%, the first half of 2011 the national consumer price (CPI) rose 5.4% in the total level, Chinas industrial production producer prices (PPI) rose by 7.0%.In June 201, the CPI rose 6.4%, reached its highest since 35 months, June export surplus of $22.27 billion, hit a record seven months.Through the data correlation can be seen, the various factors leading to inflation is still continuing, the growth of import and export trade for the entire made important contribution to the growth of national economy, but its effect on infl