基于商空间的煤矿瓦斯浓度预测的分析-analysis of coal mine gas concentration prediction based on commercial space.docxVIP

太原理 J_入手硕 士研究位学位论文THE RESEARCH OF COAL MINE GAS CONCENTRATION PREDICTION BASED ON QUOTIENT SPACEABSTRACTSafety in coal mines is a nonlinear and dynamical system，which integrated human conditions，management facilities ，geological conditions and other conditions. Although the change of this system has certain regularities ，it can also be affected by many factors，such as economic and environment. Differentfactors and ways will result in incidents ofthe different levels，which makes thcpredict i on of undergrouod accurately more djfficul t.Nevertheless ，our countries and many scholars still propose possible method about prediction from different theories，different ways and different practices. The traditional gas predictionfaces many challenges in the practical application. However，neural network has the characteristics of self-leaming，adaptive and so 00，which could extract th e knowledge characteristics dynamically on gas from historical data . So，it is moresuitable for solving some problems about gas warning. But thc traditional BP neural network usually considers the impact of the single factor as the gas concentration in the gas prediction and this method is a low forecasting accuracy.If adding the other input vectors artificially in the input vector of the BP network ，we rnake the data too large，and result in a large burden on rnodel training; thespeed oftraining is slow; the effect is also not good.Therefore，this paper proposes a constructive network based on quotient space-CA-BP model，wbich is a prediction method combined with BP network. Firstly，based on the quotient space，we select many factors of the gas prediction1II.JJ太原理工大学硕士研究生学位论文with the association rules of 出e data mining ，in order to get the main factors describing lhe trends of gas concentration . 丁hen ，through the self-organ izing classification capacity of CA-BP，the gas concentration factors are classified ， and on the basis of qualitative cJassification ，we can do classification predictionby BP n