商业决策技术知识课件 09Quantitative Methods For Decision Makers Chapter 9 Forecasting Ⅰmoving averages and time series.pptVIP

Quantitative Methods For Decision Makers3rd Edition;Learning Objectives;The need for forecasting;Forecasting and decision making;Forecasting methods;Delphi method;Historical comparison;Trend projections;Simple moving averages;Forecast errors;Exponential smoothing;Exponential smoothing;Time-series models;Time-series decomposition;Estimating the trend;The seasonal components;Additive and multiplicative models;Steps for multiplicative models