乒乓球四分赛制应用与实征研究.docVIP

乒乓球四分赛制应用与实征研究 　　摘 要: 为定量研究国家乒乓球男队备战2009年世界乒乓球锦标赛所采用的四分关键球新赛 制,并为有针对性的赛制设计和创新提供理论上的辅助。在合理的假设下,建立乒乓球赛制 分析的概率模型,定量地分析比较四分关键球、11分以及8:8或10:10开局等赛制下不同水 平运动员的取胜概率。结果发现:四分关键球制在接近实战的模式下,适当地增加了比赛的 偶然性,突出了开局的重要性和对关键球把握能力的要求,提升了对抗强度。通过严格的定 量分析认为,四分关键球赛制构思巧妙,能够很好地达到其制定的初衷,是对训练赛制创新 性的改进,是科学地针对目的制定合理训练赛制的成功尝试。这一新的训练赛制理论上具备 坚实的合理性。 　　关键词:乒乓球; 赛制设计; 创新; 概率方法; 定量分析 　　中图分类号:G846.4文献标识码:A文章编号 :1007-3612(2009)08-0102-03 　　 　　An Applied and Empirical Research on4?Point System of Table Te nnis 　　ZHANG Ruo?bo?1, PENG Bo?2, LIANG Heng?3 　　(1. Beijing Sport University, Beijing100084, China;2. China U niversity of Political Science and Law, Beijing100088, China;3. Tsinghu a University, Beijing100084, China) 　　Abstract: Purpose and Significance: A new game system,4?point system, is adopte d by Chinese Mens National Table Tennis Team in the first stage of trials for2 009 World Table Tennis Championships. We study the new game system quantitativel y and hope to provide useful assistant tools theoretically for designing an appr opriate game rule, which aims to the specific training goals. Methods: Under thereasonable hypothesis, a probability model is introduced to analyze the game sy stems quantitatively. The comparison between11?poiont system, start with 　　8:8 o r10:10 and the new4?point system is presented in this paper. Result: It is sho w n that the new system increases the uncertainty of games properly. It makes thestart more important and enhances the requirement of ability to seize the key po ints. Based on rigorous quantitative analysis, we think that the4?point systemis a clever game system design and can achieve its original intentions well. Itis an innovative, scientific and rational system. 　　Key words: table tennis; game system design; innovation; probability met hod; quantitative analysis 　　 　　2009年2月3日至7日,中国乒乓球??进行了“直通横滨”第一阶段队内选拔赛。这次比赛中 男队使用了新的四分关键球赛制,目的提高关键球水平[1,2]。 　　新赛制的核心思想是在比赛中谁先得到4分就直接加到9分继续比赛。具体方法是:如果 开局是4∶3,就直接跳到?9∶8;?如果是4∶2,就直接跳到9∶7;4∶1和4∶0则直接跳到9∶6。 　　对于这种