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Orientation, Graduation, and Anticipatory Socialization取向,毕业典礼,与预期的社会
A Survivors Guide to Survival Analysis
Dr. Beckie Hermansen
Presentation given October 2007 (NV)
Rocky Mountain Association for Institutional Research (RMAIR)
Theoretical Base
EXCHANGEOf student’s time, efforts, knowledge for education offered by the institution
Student
Institution
Explicit Contracts and Implicit Contracts
Little or no guarantee = uncertainty
Uncertainty
Uncertainty
Anticipatory Socialization
Persistence and Graduation
Postsecondary Socialization
Socialization process marked by high levels of uncertainty and increased risk of exit from the institution
Socialization for students not participation in an orientation
Socialization for students participating in an orientation
Persistence Study Model
CollegePersistence
Research Question
Do orientation non-participants experience greater withdrawal at the end of the first year than participants?
Descriptive Statistics (N = 1143)
587 Start Smart; 556 non-Start Smart
731 (64%) female; 408 (36%) male
Average age = 19
White = 93.7%
Average family contribution = $6,447
Average High school GPA = 3.4
Average ACT score = 20.65
50.1% declared a major at matriculation
52.6% received a degree
34% transferred to a higher educational institution
Hypothesis: Withdrawal over time for orientation non-participants = withdrawal over time for orientation participants (no difference).
Survival Analysis
Dependent Variable = Time and Status -- for this cohort there were 12 time intervals or semesters, excluding summer terms-- status was either censored (no event) or uncensored (terminating event)
Independent Variables =
~ Age ~ Gender ~ Ethnicity ~ Income Level ~ High School GPA ~ ACT Score ~ Start Smart Participation
Withdrawal over time
Survival-Time Analysis
~ Logistic regression does not deal well with sample attrition
~ Unique characteristic of “stop-out” from college/university (Mission, marriage, maternity, money, mobility, mental health, miscellaneous).
~ Examine distributions given a time pe
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