投资的项目不确定性分析的方法的探讨.docVIP

投资的项目不确定性分析的方法的探讨 　　摘要:企业在进行项目投资决策中,由于很大部分的基础数据,例如产品产量、售价、成本以及投资额等因素都来自于预测或估算, 因此具有很大的不确定性。为了避免投资决策失误,更好地控制风险,都需要对投资项目进行不确定分析,针对性的控制或者预防这些风险。本文就此类问题系统地进行了探讨,希望为从事项目投资的人员提供参考。 　　Abstract: When making an investment decision, a large proportion of basic data, such as production, price, cost, investment and other factors is derived from the forecasting or estimating, therefore there are considerable uncertainties. In order to avoid mistakes and control risk, we need to make uncertainty analysis of those investment projects, finding out the principal factors in order to control or prevent those