基于功效系数与改进AHP法的地下矿山采空区稳定性评判.docxVIP

PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 1 基于功效系数与改进AHP法的地下矿山采空区稳定性评判 董宪久 （广西中金岭南矿业有限责任公司，广西 武宣545902） 摘要：研究采空区稳定性评价新方法或新模型对于提高采空区稳定性评判的可靠度、保证地下矿山的生产安全具有重要意义。选取工程地质环境、岩体质量、采空区几何参数和围岩应力四方面的因素作为采空区稳定性的主要影响因子，构建了地下矿山采空区稳定性评价指标体系。基于功效系数法原理，采用三标度改进层次分析法确定各评价指标的权重系数，建立了采空区稳定性评判分级新模型。将所建立的模型运用到盘龙铅锌矿采空区稳定性评价研究，评判结果与工程实际相吻合，验证了基于功效系数法的采空区稳定性评判分级模型的适用性和可靠性，为采空区稳定性评价提供了一种新方法。 关键词：地下矿山安全；采空区稳定性；功效系数法；改进层次分析法；安全评价模型 Stability evaluation study of underground mine goaf based on efficacy coefficient method and improved AHP Dong Xianjiu （Limited liability Company of Zhongjin lingnan Mining Industry in Guangxi, Guangxi Wuxuan 545902,China） Abstract: It is of great significance to develop a new model of goaf stability evaluation for improving the reliability of goaf stability evaluation and ensuring the safety of underground mine. The evaluation indices for goaf stability was built through selecting four factors as the main influencing factor which includes engineering geological environment, rock mass quality, geometric parameters and surrounding rock stress of goaf. Based on the principle efficacy coefficient method, using the three-scale improved analytic hierarchy process (AHP)to calculate the weight coefficient of evaluation indices, a new model of goaf stability evaluation was established. Then the model was employed to evaluate the goaf stability in Panlong lead-zinc underground mine. The evaluation results were in good agreement with the actual situation, which verified the feasibility and reliability of the newly established evaluating model based on efficacy coefficient method. Thus the study provides a new approach for goaf stability evaluation. Key words: underground mine safety; goaf stability; efficacy coefficient method; improved AHP; safety evaluation model 0 引言 地下矿山采空区或采空区群是影响矿山生产安全与周边环境安全的重大危险源之一，采空区稳定性状况评价研究对于保证地下矿山的生产安全、矿山周边环境的安全具有重要的技术经济意义和社会效益。近年来，国内外学者就采空区稳定性评价问题进行了较深入的研究，提出了一些基于理论分析的评价方法，主要有：数值模拟分析法、模糊综合评判法、灰色理论分析法、人工神经网络评价法、物元可拓模型评价方法以及综合评价方法等[1-7]。由于地下矿山采空区稳定性影响因素的复杂性、模糊性和不