高速公路建设项目投资限额的合理确定研究-交通运输工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘要 摘 要 公路交通运输是一项关系国计民生的重大基础设施，其健康发展已成为本行业普遍 关注的焦点。近数十年来，我国高速公路建设发展突飞猛进：截至 2011 年底，高速公 路里程已达 8.5 公里，实现了《国家高速公路网规划》的高速公路建设总规模。然而， 在高速公路建设空前发展并取得巨大成就的同时，投资失控、“三超”现象已显得非常 普遍，这严重影响着高速公路建设项目的投资效益管理。归根结底，该现象是由于投资 的不合理控制造成的，而解决这一问题的首要任务就是合理确定高速公路建设项目的投 资限额。所以，如何合理地确定高速公路的投资限额已经成为当前急迫解决的关键问题， 其研究将对高速公路的健康发展具有重大意义。 本文将所收集的福建省已建高速公路工程作为原始资料，通过分析福建地形特征及 高速公路工程特征，应用模糊综合评价方法选取与依托工程比较相似的样本工程作为典 型样本工程。对所选取的典型样本，通过统计分析选取占工程造价比例较大的典型单位 工程及其各分部工程作为重点研究对象。在统计完各典型分部工程量之后，运用 SPSS.19 软件分析各工程量与技术指标或影响因素的关系，得出计算工程量的数学回归方程。最 后，将所得出的结果应用于依托工程进行测算验证。 关键词：高速公路，模糊综合评价，回归分析，投资限额 I Abstract Abstract Highway transportation is an important infrastructure to the national economy and peoples livelihood, its healthy development has become the focus of widespread concern in the industry. In recent decades, our country’s highway construction development is growing by leaps and bounds：by the end of 2011, Chinas highway mileage has been reached 8.5 km, and the national highway construction total scale of highway network planning was implemented.However, at the same time in an unprecedented development and made great achievements in the highway construction, investment out of control, San Chao phenomenon has become very common，and this seriously affected the investment benefit management of highway construction project. In the final analysis, this phenomenon is caused by unreasonable investment control, and the primary task to solve this problem is rational determination of the investment quota of the highway construction project.So, how to rationally determine the highway investment quota has become the key problem in the current urgent, and the research will be of great significance for the healthy development of the highway. This paper uses Fujian province highway projects that have been built as the original data,through analysis Fujian landform features and characteristics of Highway Engineering,selecting the projects similar to relying project as typical sample projects in fuzzy comprehensive evaluati