基于FSA的船舶引航系统安全评估-交通信息工程及控制专业论文.docxVIP

基于 FSA 的船舶引航系统的安全评估 摘 要 船舶引航工作对于保证船舶安全航行、提高港口作业效率、维护港口安全秩序、保护 港口水域环境都具有重要的意义，也与国家主权和国家安全密切相关。然而，引航却也是 一项风险非常高的工作。相关部门的权威统计数据显示，港内引航过程中事故占船舶海上 事故的一半以上，甚至一些航运企业的船舶发生的海事有八成来自于港口引航，因此有必 要对其进行深入的研究。 引航工作是与很多因素密切相关的工作，为了方便进行系统化的研究，本文首次将引 航系统分为五个分系统，即引航员、环境系统、引航设备、港口支持系统、被引航船舶。 本文采用 FSA 的理论框架，利用事故树与头脑风暴等方法对引航系统的风险进行识别，建 立船舶引航系统评价指标体系，采用模糊综合评判与层次分析法建立风险评估模型，并进 行模型的应用论证。 为了使船舶引航系统评估模型更加实用，本研究开发了“船舶引航系统安全评估”应 用软件。并将其应用到某港口进行实例应用，通过输入专家的打分相关数据，快速给出计 算结果。通过对评估结果进行研究分析，提出相关决策建议，以提高此港口引航安全。 关键词 FSA，引航系统，风险识别，风险评估模型 Pilotage system security assessment based on FSA Abstract Marine-Pilotage work demonstrate its great significance not only in the fields of enhancing efficiency of port work , Maintaining safety of the port ,protecting the environment of port waters,but also related closely to the national sovereignty and security. However, pilotage is a task with high risk. Statistics of the related authority department indicated that half of marine-accident derived from harbor pilotage, Some shipping companies at least 80% of the marine accidents come from the port pilotage, so it becomes indispensable to carry out in-depth research on it. Pilotage work is closely related to many factors. In order to facilitate the systematic study, this article creatively divided pilotage system into five sub-systems, namely the pilot, environmental system, pilot device, port-supportting system and the vessel to be led.This paper utilize the theoretical framework of the FSA, establish the index system of the pilotage system by FTA and brainstorming method,establish the evaluation model by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and ATP . In order to make the model to be more practical,this paper use C# language to program the model and apply the software into to a certain port.By inputting the Scoring data of experts，the software will quickly comes to the compute result. Through research and analysis the results, we make recommendations so as to improve the safety of this port pilotage. Key words: FSA, pilot