克什米尔问题：困境与出路.doc

目 录 第 1章 绪论 ··············································· 1 研究现状 ············································· 1 本文的选题价值 ········································ 3 研究目的与研究方法 ····································· 4 可能的创新之处 ········································ 4 第 2章 克什米尔问题的缘起 ···································· 5 克什米尔概述·········································· 5 地理与人口概况 ····································· 5 民族与宗教概况 ····································· 6 克什米尔问题的缘起 ····································· 6 印巴分治前克什米尔的状况 ····························· 6 分治前英国对土邦的政策······························· 7 印巴分治与“蒙巴顿方案”出笼 ·························· 7 “蒙巴顿方案”的缺陷与第一次印巴战争爆发 ················ 9 印巴对克什米尔问题和解的最初探讨······················· 10 第 3章 印巴在解决克什米尔问题上的困境··························· 12 “困境”的表现 ········································ 12 建国理念截然不同 ··································· 12 双方立场根本对立 ··································· 13 长期保持军事对峙 ··································· 14 外交场合针锋相对 ··································· 14 “困境”形成的原因 ····································· 15 印巴两国的因素 ····································· 15 国际因素·········································· 18 第 4章 解决克什米尔问题的出路 ································· 21 和平解决克什米尔问题的背景······························· 21 印巴关系的改善与信任基础的建立 ························ 21 “第三方”在印巴解决克什米尔问题中的作用 ················ 21 克什米尔问题的解决路径 ·································· 22 理论界和国际组织对和平解决克什米尔问题的探讨 ············· 22 III “实控线边界化”方案是印巴解决克什米尔问题的现实选择 ······· 25 第 5章 结语 ··············································· 31 参考文献 ·················································· 32 致谢······················································ 35 附录 A 个人简历、在学习期间发表的学术论文 ························ 37 IV 第 1章 绪 论 研究现状 克什米尔问题是当今世界持续时间最长、解决起来“难度系数”最大的地区及国 际热点问题。在印巴两国和国际学术领域，关于克什米尔问题的专著、论文很多。20 世纪90年代以前，学者们对克什米尔问题的产生原因及发展过程比较关注，对细节探 讨较多，如王公哈利·辛格签署“加入书”的真实时间、加入的有效性、联合国调解 失败的原因、问题的性质、巴基斯坦是否是“入侵者”、印度是否也是“入侵者”、 《西姆拉协定》的影响等。90年代以来，尤其是1998年两国核试爆之后，人们