由东北冷涡引发的一次强降水、大风、冰雹天气过程分析.docxVIP

由东北冷涡引发的一次强降水、大风、冰雹天气过程分析 　　摘要：利用MICAPS 欧阳位温分析图，运用V-3θ结构分析法及常规气象资料，对XX年6月10-12日辽西北地区局地强降水、大风、冰雹天气过程进行分析。结果表明，①此次辽西北地区局地强降水、大风、冰雹天气是在东北冷涡背景下产生的。②通过常规天气学角度预报局地暴雨难度较大，V-3θ结构分析法可以在一定程度上弥补这种不足，在短时暴雨发生前12～24 h，辽西北地区上游及锦州V-3θ图上有超低温存在，整层顺滚流，θ、Θsed和θ*曲线多处左倾，不稳定能量聚集，Θsed和θ*距离较近，湿度条件较好，这些特征对辽西北地区局地暴雨的预报有较好的指示作用。③强冷平流不仅会使地面正变压场加强、地面变压梯度增大，而且促使地面风场发展，造成大风，低层冷平流是辽西北地区产生7～8级大风的主要原因。　　关键词：东北冷涡；V-3θ结构分析；冷平流；强对流天气　　中图分类号：P46 文献标识码：A 文章编号：0439--0039-05　　DOI：/　　The Northeast Cold Turbo-induced A Strong Winds， Precipitation，　　Hail Weather Process Analysis　　ZHANG Cui-yan， LOU Fang-lei， ZHOU Fu-ran， SHI Hong-ting， HU Ming　　　　Abstract： Using chart of Ouyang Wen and V-3θ structural analysis method and conventional meteorological data，in June XX，10-12th in northwestern Liaoning， local stronger rainfall， high winds， hail weather process were analysed. The results showed that，①the local heavy rainfall in northwestern Liaoning and the high winds， hail were generated in the context of the Northeast cold vortex.②And it was difficult to forecast local rainstorm through general weather learn angle，while V-3θ structure analysis method could make up the shortage in a certain extent. In short time storm occurred before 12～24 hours，Liaoning northwest area upstream and the Jinzhou V-3θ figure existsed ultra-low temperature，the whole layer flow in the roll flow，θ，Θsed and θ* curve more at left-leaning，unstable energy gathered，more near distance between Θsed and θ*，better humidity conditions features，which had better of indicates role on Liaoning northwest area to local rainstorm of forecast.③Strong cold advection would not only make the ground temperature-pressure strengthening increased，surface pressure gradients increased，but also promote the development of surface wind fields，resulting in high winds，and low level cold advection was a major cause of 7～8 class winds in northwestern Liaoning.　　Key words： northeast cold vortex； V-3θ structure analysis； cold advection； strong convective weather