高新技术企业战略风险管理系统模型及预警研究技术经济及管理专业论文.docxVIP

西安理工大学硕士学位论文Title：RESEARCH 西安理工大学硕士学位论文 Title：RESEARCH ON HIGH．TECH ENTERPRISES STRATEGIC RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM MODEL AND FORECASTING Ma／or：Technology EconomyManagement Student： Baosheng ZHANG Signature： Supervisor： Prof-Yanxia WU s_g舱山陬岬卜 Abstract In recent years,the Hi-tech industry has got rapidly development in the world,wI：lile，the competitions among countries all over the world have focused on the High-tech industry which is supported by the High-tech∞terpris器，and the Hiigh-tech industry has become the engins of the global economy and on the lending-ship position in the global economic development．．With the development ofthe intelligent economy,the economic form based OR creation,propagation and application ofknowledge becomes the mainstream of global economic development．奄a result,High-tccb enterprises also get cousiderable development．On the ground of all those understandings，through using synthesizing analysis and key analysis,quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis，and also some modern computer ernulation technology synthetically,the paper gets some conclusion which useful to china High-tech enterprises，especially,to t．he High-tech enterprises strategic risk management The contents of thesis are the high-tcch enterprises strategic risk management syam model and strategic risk forecasting．Based 011 slirategic management theory,strategiC．。直sk management theory,strategic risk forecasting theory and System Dynamics(SD)theory,弦e‘ discern the influencing factor ofhigh-tech enterprises strategic risk from inner and outside两o aspects,use multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluations and PEST measures ere．，analyze the factors which influence the high-tcch enterprises strMe#c risk on corporation itself and strategic environment,and through analysesing and discerning it finds that the internal factor is the key point which causes the strategic risk．The thesis takes use of system dynamics emulating the High-tcch enterprises strategic risk management