交通系统震害预测及应对策略的研究-交通运输规划与管理专业论文.docxVIP

北京工业大学工学硕士学位论文而后，以震害条件下的交通预测为依据，找出抗震救灾模型中的交 北京工业大学工学硕士学位论文 而后，以震害条件下的交通预测为依据，找出抗震救灾模型中的交 通系统和相关的城市用地规划的薄弱环节，提出有效的改进的措施。同 时，结合交通领域和城市防震减灾领域的技术应用，综合运用3s(ITS， GIs，Rs)方法给出相应的地震破坏情况下不同阶段的交通系统救灾对 策。 最后，本文以福建省某城市为背景，根据修正的震害交通预测模型 的思路进行该城市的震害交通预测，并城市道路和用地规划提出相应的 改进建议。 关键词 城市交通：四阶段法；生命线工程：防震减灾 AbstractAbstract Abstract Abstract Urban trafhc system is an imponant component of a cit y’which mal(es the function of city ef艳ct． The deVelopments of tramc and city are synchoronous and the fb册er operates great promption on the later．There are the social activities the human beings reconstructed the nanlre and the destories on the cities from the disaster and the eanhquake is a potential threaten on the development of city．As an important component of city， tramc is not only a ligament of eVery components for their mnnig in gear dan y，but also a green channel to saVle liVes and reduce damages aRer earthquake． As a result， the work on tramc forecast in the pmbable eanhquake condition is Very imponant aJld necessary Tramc system is a part of lifeline engineering and it focuses on the forecast on facilities oftra瓶c in eanhquake．The character of trafflc makes itself complex and tight relationship on the function of city，since analyse the tramc on the facet of structure and simplified如nctiOn stmctIlral networks is a unwholely forecast of tramc system，which is the parny forecast on tramc supply and it is unwhole．It is needed to do traffic forecast in earthquake based on the relationship between traf矗c supply and demand completely In this p印e r，each stage in the fbur stages model used in traffic plan is analysed and then the essentialrelation between urban mnning and tramc demands and supply based on probable innuence f}om potential earthquake． As the same time，relatiVe demage of facilities and tramc management are ．IIf． 北京工业大学工学硕士学位论文analysed，which 北京工业大学工学硕士学位论文 analysed，which make tra衔c supply analyse more reasonable for tra衔c forecast in eanhquake．In the tra伍c assignment stage，a new con