江西省粮食生产时空格局演变及驱动因素研究-农业经济管理专业论文.docxVIP

Contents1 Contents 1 Introduction ·l 1．1 111e Research Background 。1 1．1．1 Long—term，urgency and comprehensive food problem ’l 1．1．2 111e importance of the spatial pattern of grain production 2 1．2 The Research purpose and Significance ‘3 1．2．1 111e purpose ofthe research 3 1．2．2 The Significance ofthe research ·· ‘3 1．3 The research content．methods and technical route ·4 1．3．1 The contents ofthe research ··4 1．3．2 The method ofthe research 5 1．3．3 The technical route ofthe research 6 1．4 Possible innovation ·6 1．4．1 111e extension ofresearch perspectives ·6 1．4．2 New research methods 7 2 Food production research theoretical basis and literature review 8 2．1 Theoretical basis ·8 2．1．1 Location theory ·‘8 2．1．2 New spatial economics theory 9 2．2 Literature review 10 2．2．1 Domestic research status ··10 2．2．2 Foreign research status ’14 2．2．3Domestic and foreign research trend analysis ·。16 3 Space-time evolution pattern of grain production in jiangxi province 1 7 3．1 Temporal changes of grain production in jiangxi province ·’1 7 3．2 Spatial paRem change of grain production in jiangxi province 1 9 3．2．1 The spatial paaem of evolution of grain production of the city ·。1 9 3．2．2 The spmial pattem ofevolution ofgrain production ofthe county ’21 4 Driving factor analysis of the space-time evolution paRern of grain production in jiangxiprovince ·。24 4．1 Influence factors and variable selection 24 4．1．1 Land resources factors ··24 4．1．2 Science and technology factors 24 万方数据 4．1．3 4．1．3 The market demand factors ·。25 4．1．4 Regional economic factors ·： ·25 4．1．5Abundantwaterresources ‘26 4．2 Modeling and data explanation ‘26 4．2．1 Model building ‘26 4．2．2 Data description ·’26 4．3 The results ofspatial pattern change ofgrain production‘·······················。27 5 Conclusions and recomm