河北省居民消费水平和经济发展关系分析.docxVIP

河北经贸大学毕业论文 河北省居民消费水平和经济发展关系分析 专业名称：信息与计算科学 班 级： 200301 学生姓名： 王瑞杰 指导教师： 焦红兵 完成时间：2007年5月 摘要 目前，河北省经济处于启动期，一方面市场不稳定，产品普遍存在供 大于求的状况，另一方面，省内居民储幫欲望在不断地加强，储幫率在不 断地攀升。因此刺激消费,扩大内需一直是近年来常被关注与探讨的话题。 消费是社会再生产的重要组成部分，离开消费，社会再生产便无法继续进 行，消费既是牛产的起点，也是生产的终点。消费水平作为消费的重要内 容之一，研究消费水平，对于确定社会生产的两大部类的比例，积累与消 费的比率，确定社会经济发展的战略具有重要意义。 本文对河北省居民消费水平与经济发展之间的联系做了现实性的分 析,其中对消费水平的研究则是一个比较困难的研究领域。文章从对影响 城镇居民消费水平的因素分析入手，使用凯恩斯消费函数建立模型,对城镇 居民的消费水平进行了分析评价，得岀消费水平的状况；运用Eviews统 计软件对河北省近年來实际GDP和人均GDP的增长率分析得出河北省经 济发展状况并得出影响其发展的因素;然后对两者进行比较得岀两者之间 的关系，并相互制约的因素；最后得岀建设和谐河北所采取的一些可行性 策略。 关键词 居民消费水平；经济发展；消费函数模型 ABSTRACT Currently, the economy of Hebei Province is going through a initiating period. On the one hand, market isnt stable, and an oversupply situation exists widespread in the products; on the other hand, the saving desire of residents inside the province is continually strengthening, meanwhile the savings rate continues to rise. Therefore stimulating consumption and expanding domestic demand have been the hot topic and focus in recent years. Consumption is an important component of social reproduction. Without consumption, it will be impossible to continue social reproduction. Consumption is both the starting point and end point for production. The level of consumption is one of the important contents of consumption, thus to study the level of consumption is quite significant for the determination of the ratio of the two major categories of social production (the ratio of accumulation and consumption) as well as the strategy of social economic development. In this paper, an actual analysis on the th linkage between consumption level of residents of Hebei and economic development was made, in which the research on the level of consumption is a rather difficult area for investigation. From the factors affecting urban residents consumption level, Keynesian consumption function was adopted to establish a model to assess analytically on the th consumption level of urban residents and get the knowledge of th