农户禀赋对技术采纳的影响分析——以陕西丶宁夏丶四川的小麦品种技术和保护地生产技术为例.pdf

领域：农业经济学 ① 农户禀赋对技术采纳的影响分析 ——以陕西、宁夏、四川的小麦品种技术和保护地生产技术为例 方松海 北京，中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院，100872 【摘 要】：本文着眼于农户禀赋对农业技术采纳决策的影响，以我国西部陕西、宁夏、四川三省区调查 419 个农户样本、 28个村级样本为依据，在修正了现有理论模型的基础上，结合使用单因素相对比率和二项 logistic回归方法对小麦新品种 和蔬菜、水果的保护地生产两种在采纳成本上分属不同层次的技术进行分析。在分析过程中，我们把机会成本引进模型， 并得出新技术的进入门槛和技术采纳的机会成本共同作用着农户采纳农业新技术的可能性等相关结论，从而提出改变技术 推广思路等相关建议。 【关键词】：农户禀赋 技术采纳 机会成本 Analysis of the Effect of Household Endowments on the Technology Adoption Decision：Sample from the adoption of new variety-technology of wheat and the protection-mode in vegetable or fruit planting in West China Abstract: This paper, which is based on 419 farmer samples and 28 village samples drawn from three provinces: Shaanxi, Ningxia, Sichuan in West China, focuses on how the farmer’s endowments influence the adopting decision on agricultural technology. We revise the popular ‘adoption condition’, introduce a function of opportunity cost into the farmer decision model and employ a new method as ‘comparative ratio in adopting decision’together with the binary logistic regression to fulfill the above object, in which the new variety technology of wheat and the protection mode in vegetable or fruit planting is concerned. The analysis shows that it is not only the threshold but also the opportunity cost that affects the probability of a farmer’s adopting new technology, and, accordingly, the mode of agricultural technology diffusion practiced nowadays should be adjusted. Keywords: Household endowments Technology adoption Opportunity cost 在我国西部农村地区，不管是产业结构调整以来各省区所提倡的特色农业还是传统农业，先进技术 ①本文得益于国家自然科学基金会项目《农民采纳绿色农业技术行为的实证研究》、《社会资本对农户信贷可 得风险缓解与产业选择的影响研究》、中国科协普及部项目《现阶段我国西部地区农业技术应用的效果评价》、 教育部2003