浅析人民币汇率改革对厦门进出口贸易的影响.docVIP

PAGE 13 浅析人民币汇率改革对厦门进出口贸易的影响 【摘 要】自2005年人民币汇率制度改革以来，我国的经济贸易发生了巨大的改变。此次汇率改革的影响波及全球，厦门市，作为我国东南沿海、直面台湾的一个贸易中心，亦不例外。于当年，厦门市全年贸易进出口总额较上年增长18.7%，达到285.79亿元，其中出口总额达到172.68亿元，涨幅23.9%；进口总额达到113.11亿元，涨幅11.5%。从这些数据来看，厦门市的进出口贸易情况在此次汇率改革中得到了很好的改善。本文通过对厦门市对外贸易市场进行详细调查,对相关的市场宏观反应进行细致分析,综合的探讨厦门市对外贸易市场的特点以及在人民币汇率制度改革中厦门市场所表现出的市场规律。进而预测人民币汇率可能进一步升值对厦门进出口贸易的影响，并提出相应的应对措施，以保证厦门市对外贸易的可持续发展。 【关键词】人民币汇率改革；厦门市进出口贸易；汇率改革区域影响。 Abstract: Since the RMB exchange rate reformed in 2005, the economy of China has experienced an enormous change. The effect of this exchange rate reform is worldwide, and Xiamen, as a trading center of Southeastern China facing to Taiwan directly, has also been influenced. In 2005, the total import and export in Xiamen increased by 18.7% comparing to the data of 2004, and reached 28.579 billion yuan in total amount. Among them, the total export increased by 23.9% to 17.268 billion yuan; the total import reached 11.311 billion yuan by an increase of 11.5%. From the data, the situation of Xiamen’s import and export was enhanced by this reform. In this essay, I will provide detailed information about Xiamen foreign trade market from my research, and make advanced analyses from macro-reaction of the market, to conclude the features of this market and figure out the market rule performed by Xiamen foreign trade market under the condition of RMB exchange rate reform. Furthermore, predict the possible effect of the continuous change of RMB exchange rate to the Xiamen foreign trade market, and raise relevant responses to keep Xiamen foreign trade market sustainable. Key words: RMB exchange rate reform; Xiamen Foreign trade; local effect of exchange rate reform. 目录 引言…………………………………………………………………………3 汇率波动对外贸市场的基本影响…………………………………………3 基本的汇率制度……………………………………………………………3 对人民币汇率改革的理论分析与预期市场效应…………………………4 1. 2005年人民币汇率改革的具体条例………………………………………4 2. 人民币汇率制度改革的历史………………………………………………5 3. 对2005年汇率改革对厦门市进出口贸易影响的推测……………………7 第三章 人民币汇改对厦门进出口贸易的宏观影响………………………………7 1. 厦门市2005年进出口贸易数据与往年的对比……………………………7 2. 厦