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North America Equity Research
04 April 2019
Broadlines Hardlines Re l
7th Annual Share of Wallet Analysis - 2018 Started
with a Bang, Ended with a W himper; 2019 Implications
In our seventh annual Share of Wallet analysis, we examine services and Re ling — Hardlines
re l spending shifts while also digging into the consumer slowdown that AC
Christopher Horvers, CFA
occurred at the end of last year. Key takeaways include (1) 2017 and most of
(1-212) 622-1316
2018 were robust times evidenced by accelerating spending, share dynamics,
christopher.horvers@jpmorgan.
category shifts, and a narrowing growth gap vs. e merce. However, the Bloomberg JPMA HORVERS GO
deceleration/increased volatility since last summer suggest sales softness goes C. Jerry Sullivan
beyond one-time factors. One- and two-year growth trends inflected positively at (1-212) 622-5928
the start of 2017, the peak one-year pace occurred in holiday 2017, the peak two- jerry.sullivan@jpmorgan.
year trend happened in Nov 2018, and both h e been deteriorating since (core Tami Zakaria, CFA
sales had been growing ~5-6% b
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