房价收入比对四川产业结构升级的影响.docxVIP

房价收入比对四川产业结构升级的影响 摘 要 产业结构的状况不仅和一个地区的经济状况相关，而且和人们的生活质量息息相关， 对于地区的意义非同一般，本文通过调研 2016-2019 年四川省 21 个地级市的面板数据， 想要找寻房价收入比对四川省产业结构升级的影响，从四川省的层面来看，房价收入比对 产业升级的影响呈现显著的倒 u 型关系，当最初房价收入比较低的时候，他对于产业结构 升级之间的关系是促进作用，伴随着房价收入比的升高，等到达一个最佳的一个临界点之 后，如果再度升高，他对于产业结构升级之间的促进作用逐渐减轻，最后就会抑制产业结 构升级；本文将 21 个地级市按照最新 2020 年数据统计 2020 年四川各地级市国内生产总 值排行的高低分为一类城市，二类城市和三类城市，试图探究在不同的经济发展程度的城 市的房价收入比与产业结构升级之间的关系，研究结果表示：房价收入比对产业结构升级 的影响是分地域进行的而且其对产业结构的影响和城镇化率有着密切的关系，也就是和城 市的发达情况有关，城市的发达情况将会影响人口流动，进而对人才聚集产生影响，人才 集聚进而对产业结构升级发挥作用，总体而言，房价收入比对产业结构升级产生显著的正 向作用，对经济发展不同的城市而言，一二类的交互项均对产业升级起到促进作用，尤其 是二类城市的房价收入比通过城镇化发展显著促进了产业升级，也就在两者作用下将会促 进产业升级，人才集聚越高，那么高新兴科技越发达，通过人才产出最终影响到产业结构 升级，最终对产业结构升级产生促进作用，而三类城市城市化率最低，且交互项为负，说 明房价收入比通过城镇化抑制了产业升级，城镇化率较低，对人才吸引力较弱反而抑制了 产业升级。 关键词：房价收入比；产业结构；城镇化水平；劳动力流动 Ⅰ The impact of house price income ratio on the upgrading of Industrial Structure in Sichuan Abstract The status of industrial structure is not only related to a regions economic situation, but also closely related to peoples quality of life, which is of extraordinary significance to the region. This paper investigates the panel data of 21 prefecture-level cities in Sichuan Province from 2016 to 2019, in order to find out the impact of house price-income ratio on industrial structure upgrading in Sichuan Province. From the perspective of Sichuan Province, the impact of house price-income ratio on industrial upgrading presents a significant inverted U-shaped relationship. When the house price income was relatively low at first, he promoted the relationship between industrial structure upgrading. With the increase of house price-income ratio, after reaching an optimal critical point, if it rises again, his promotion between industrial structure upgrading will be gradually reduced, and finally the industrial structure upgrading will be inhibited; According to the latest statistics of 2020, this paper divides 21 prefecture-level cities into the first class city, the second class city and the third class city in 2020, trying to expl