9 城市快速路匝道汇入行为建模及仿真_左康.pdfVIP

第 29 卷第 9 期 系统仿真学报© Vol. 29 No. 9 2017 年 9 月 Journal of System Simulation Sep., 2017 城市快速路匝道汇入行为建模及仿真 左康，刘启远，孙剑 ( 同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室，上海 201804) 摘要：为深化快速路瓶颈早发性失效的致因和演化过程分析，以上海市延安高架虹许路瓶颈点车辆 轨迹数据为基础，建立了汇入区车辆换道动机模型，结果表明，模型分类预测精度可达到73%以上。 标定了间隙接受模型和IDM 跟驰模型，基于C++建立了仿真原型系统ORBSIM。仿真结果表明该 系统能再现实际交通流运行特征以及早发性失效现象。该汇入模型经过进一步工程化，被整合应用 于自主开发的微观仿真系统TESS NG，有效的对上海快速路不同情况的汇入行为进行精准的表征。 关键词：城市快速路；瓶颈；汇入行为；换道动机模型；微观仿真系统TESS NG 中图分类号：U491.2 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1004-731X (2017) 09-1895-12 DOI: 10.16182/j.issn1004731x.joss.201709004 Modeling and Simulation of Merging Behavior at Urban Expressway On-ramp Zuo Kang, Liu Qiyuan , Sun Jian (Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China) Abstract: In order to analyze the causation and evolution process of early on-set breakdown at bottlenecks deeply, the lane changing motivation model was established based on the whole vehicles’ trajectory data at Hongxu Road on-ramp bottleneck in Shanghai China. The results show that prediction accuracy of the lane change motivation model is more than 73%. On this basis, the on-ramp microscopic traffic flow simulation proto type system ORBSIM was established with calibrated critical gap and IDM model in the C++ platform. The simulation results show that the ORBSIM can recur traffic flow characteristics and early on-set breakdown phenomenon. For further engineering using, this model was developed and integrated in micro simulation system TESS NG, and the results show that the model can simulate the merging behavio