项目管理自考论文-港珠澳大桥沉管隧道项目风险管理案例研究.docxVIP

高等教育自学考试毕业论文 题目：港珠澳大桥沉管隧道项目风险管理案例研究 XX大学毕业设计（论文） PAGE PAGE II 摘 要 随着道路交通和内陆河流和海运的发展，对跨河交叉的需求不断增加。由于水上船舶的吨位和密度的增加，桥梁下的航行间隙要求越来越高，越来越大，建造桥梁的成本和难度增加了。同时,由于城市规划的制约，随着城市的发展，跨江大桥的两岸联系条件变得更加困难。因此，在过去的十年中，出现了许多水下隧道，其各个部分不断深化，工程水平得到迅速提高。沉管隧道施工技术虽然已在国际国内成功应用，但是风险管理经验还不够充足，尤其是沉管外海安装施工风险管理知识匮乏，施工过程中风险事故频发，每一起事故都会造成施工成本倍增、工期延后，影响整个交通设施的正常通行营运，给社会和企业带来巨大的损失。为实现沉管隧道外海安装施工的风险可控，港珠澳大桥沉管隧道施工团队结合工程工况开展风险管理研究，并建立了完善的风险管理体系，保障了复杂海洋条件下沉管隧道施工安全。从沉管隧道施工中的修建干坞及预制管段、沉管隧道的浚挖、管段沉放与连接、基础处理及回填、环境因素、安全管理因素等方面进行风险辨识，结合相关风险评估和管理规范、专家法和隧道实际施工技术，构建沉管隧道施工风险评估系统。确立评估流程，即考虑专家的学术背景、职称和对沉管隧道风险理论掌握程度等因素，定量化专家的权重，根据专家法计算底事件的风险值。将该评估系统应用于港珠澳大桥的水下沉管隧道工程中，根据评估分析结果提出了具体的风险应对措施，为该工程的风险管理提供理论参考。 关键词：风险控制 风险应对 风险管理  Abstract With the development of road traffic and inland rivers and maritime transport, the demand for cross-river crossings is increasing. Due to the increase in tonnage and density of ships on the water, the gap under the bridge is increasingly demanding and increasing, and the cost and difficulty of building bridges have increased. At the same time, due to the constraints of urban planning, with the development of the city, the cross-strait contact conditions across Jiangdaqiao have become more difficult. As a result, during the past decade, many underwater tunnels have emerged, their various parts have continued to deepen, and the level of engineering has rapidly improved. Although the construction technology of caisson tunnel has been successfully applied at home and abroad, the experience of risk management is not enough, especially the lack of knowledge of construction risk management in the offshore installation of caisson tunnel, and the frequent occurrence of risk accidents in the construction process. Each accident will cause the construction cost to double and the construction period to be delayed, affecting the normal operation of the entire transportation facility and causing huge losses to the society and enterprises. In order to control the risk of installation and construct