城乡收入差距及影响因素实证分析——以安徽省为例.docx

PAGE 8 PAGE 8 城乡收入差距及影响因素实证分析——以安徽省为例 摘要 　　我国经济的持续增长提高了人民的生活水平，但由于我国是典型的“城乡经济二元结构”的国家，城市和乡村的收入差距问题开始逐渐凸显。而安徽省是我国欠发达的农业大省，其农业发展具有一定的典型性。 　　本文通过借鉴相关文献，选取了七个代表性的变量作为分析因素，并没有选择穷尽的原则，将相关性不强的变量也纳入分析之中，使得对研究结果不利。通过多元线性回归模型，找出拟合效果最佳，变量也最显著的模型。最终得出，城乡人口比例和城镇居民可支配收入增长率是安徽省城乡居民收入差距最主要的两个因素。最后通过实证分析的研究结果，以期探索出对缓解甚至改善安徽省城乡收入差距问题的建议和政策，对缩小安徽省城乡收入差距具有较强的实践意义，同时也对我国广大的农村和城市间的收入问题具有借鉴意义。关键词：城乡收入差距，多元线性回归，新型城镇化，农村居民人均可支配收入 Abstract 　　The economic growth of China has improved peoples standard of living, but China is a typical country with dual structure of urban and rural economy, the income gaps between urban and rural areas have become clear. Anhui Province is an underdeveloped agricultural province in my country, and its agricultural development has certain typical characteristics. 　　This article draws on relevant literature and selects seven representative variables as the analysis factors. This paper does not choose the principle of exhaustion, but also brings the variables with weak correlation into the analysis, which is unfavorable to the research results. Through the multiple linear regression model, find the model with the best fitting effect and the most significant variables. In the end, it is concluded that the proportion of urban-rural population and the growth rate of disposable income of urban residents are the two most important factors. Finally, through the research results of empirical analysis, we hope to explore suggestions and policies to alleviate or even improve the income gap between urban and rural areas in Anhui Province, which has strong practical significance for reducing the income gap in Anhui Province. 　　Key words: Urban rural income gap, multiple linear regression, new urbanization, per capita disposable income of rural residents １引言 1.1研究背景 　　历经40多年的，我国人民的生活水平得到了有效的改善，但是由于我国是典型的“城乡经济二元结构”的国家，在社会经济得到快速发展的同时，城市和农村之间的收入差距的问题也开始显现，这对国民经济的持续健康发展有着不利的影响。新我国成立后决定优先发展重工业，使得农村发展落后于城市，社会资源偏向城市，城乡收入差距逐步拉大。党从2014年开始一直强调“三农”问题，解决“三农”问题的关键是提高农民收入。若农民的收入不能