黄河流域碳排放区域差异、成因及脱钩分析.pdfVIP

黄河流域碳排放区域差异、成因及脱钩分析 作者：公维凤范振月王传会赵梦真 来源：《人民黄河》2022年第12 期 摘要：为了给黄河流域低碳转型和高质量发展决策提供参考，利用2000—2022年面板数 据和STIRPAT 模型，测算了2000—2022年黄河流域的碳排放量，比较沿黄9 省（区）碳排放 的区域差异及各驱动因素的空间异质性，分析黄河流域碳排放及经济增长之间的关系。结果表 明：黄河流域整体碳排放量较大，沿黄9 省（区）碳排放量存在明显差异，黄河中下游的山 西、陕西、河南、山东4 省份属于高排放区，黄河上游的四川和内蒙古2 省（区）属于中排放 区，青海、宁夏和甘肃3 省（区）属于低排放区域;不同驱动因素的碳排放量弹性系数存在差 异，经济快速增长是各省（区）碳排放量增加的主要驱动因素，碳排放与经济增长之间存在明 显的倒U 形库兹涅茨曲线;黄河流域整体碳排放与经济增长之间弹性脱钩状态大致经历了由增 长连接到弱脱钩再到强脱钩的过程，脱钩趋势向好，9 省（区）碳排放与经济增长之间的弹性 脱钩状态存在区域异质性。 关键词：碳排放;驱动因素;EKC 检验;弹性脱钩;高质量发展;黄河流域 中图分类号：F201;TV882.1 文献标志码：A doi ：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2022.12.003 引用格式：公维凤，范振月，王传会，等.黄河流域碳排放区域差异、成因及脱钩分析[J]. 人民黄河，2022，43 （12）：12-17. Abstract ：In order to provide a reference for the low-carbon transition and high-quality development decision-making of the Yellow River Basin ， using panel data from 2000 to 2022 and the STIRPAT model ， the carbon emissions of the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022 were calculated. And the carbon emissions of 9 provinces （regions） along the Yellow River were compared. Regional differences and spatial heterogeneity of various driving factors were analyzed. The relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in the Yellow River Basin were also analyzed. The results show that the overall carbon emissions of the Yellow River Basin are relatively larger. There are significant differences in the carbon emissions of the 9 provinces （regions） along the Yellow River. The four provinces of Shanxi ， Shaanxi ， Henan ， and Shandong in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River belong to high-carbon emission areas. Inner Mongolia is a medium-emission area ， and Qinghai ， Ningxia and Gansu provinces （regions） are low-emission areas. Different driving factors have different elastic coefficients for carbon emissions. Rapid economic growth is the main driving factor for the increase of carbon emissions in various provinces （regions）. There is an obvious inverted U-sh