中亚国家“多向量外交”的制度化表现——基于2023年“中亚-欧盟”峰会与“中国+中亚”机制并行.docxVIP

中亚国家“多向量外交”的制度化表现——基于2023年“中亚-欧盟”峰会与“中国+中亚”机制并行

摘要与关键词(AbstractKeywords):

Abstract:Background:Inthecontextofintensifiedgreatpowercompetition,theforeignpolicychoicesofCentralAsianstatesarecrucial.Theconceptofmulti-vectordiplomacyhaslongdefinedtheirstrategy.Purpose:Toanalyzetheevolutionofthisstrategy,specificallyitsinstitutionalization,usingtheparallelC+C5andEU+C5summitsof2023asacasestudy.Method:Comparativecasestudyandinstitutionalanalysis.CoreFindings:Theparallelsummitsarenotad-hocbalancingbutaclearsignoftheinstitutionalizationofmulti-vectordiplomacy.Thisnewphaseischaracterizedbyashiftfrompassive,individualbalancingtoactive,collectivediversificationthroughformalC5+1platforms.Conclusion:Throughtheseinstitutionalizedmechanisms,CentralAsianstatesarecollectivelyenhancingtheirstrategicautonomy,diversifyingpartnerships,andincreasingtheiragency,transformingfromanobjectofgreatpowerrivalrytoanactivesubjectshapingregionalorder.

Keywords:多向量外交(Multi-vectorDiplomacy),中亚(CentralAsia),大国博弈(GreatPowerCompetition),制度化(Institutionalization),“C5+1”机制(C5+1Mechanism).

II.引言(Introduction):

Background:Startwiththeshiftingglobalgeopoliticallandscape—theUkrainecrisis,heightenedUS-Chinarivalry—andhowthishasincreasedthestrategicimportanceofCentralAsiaasapivotarea.

ProblemStatement:Multi-vectordiplomacyisthetraditionallensforviewingCentralAsianforeignpolicy.However,therecentproliferationofformalizedC5+1cooperationmechanisms(withChina,Russia,EU,India,US,etc.)challengestheoldunderstandingofthisstrategyaspurelyinformalandopportunistic.Thealmostback-to-backsummitswithChinaandtheEUin2023provideaperfectnaturalexperimenttoexaminethisevolution.Thecorequestionis:Howdotheseparallelinstitutionalmechanismsrepresentanew,evolvedformofmulti-vectordiploma