山东半岛FDI技术溢出效应及吸收能力研究.pdfVIP

内容摘要 20 世纪 90 年代以来，FDI 的技术溢出效应在中国成为被广泛关注的课 题。山东半岛的吸引的FDI一直居于全国前列。利用FDI能否获得技术溢出？ FDI 的技术溢出效应受什么因素的制约？能否采取措施促进 FDI 的技术溢出 效应？这些问题的解决对评估 FDI 对山东半岛经济持续增长的作用，制定正 确的引资政策有非常重要的意义。 本文首先从 FDI 技术溢出效应的概念入手，讨论了 FDI 技术溢出理论以 及前人的研究成果。接着阐述了山东半岛吸收外商直接投资的现状，为后文 对其 FDI 技术溢出效应的实证研究打下理论基础。 然后，本文利用计量经济模型，使用 1996 年—2005 年山东半岛 8 个市 的相关面板数据，对山东半岛的外商直接投资技术溢出效应进行实证研究。 实证分析结果表明，外商直接投资技术溢出效应的发挥需要以山东半岛 一定的人力资本水平为前提；市场竞争度的提升有利于外商直接投资的技术 溢出；经济开放度的提高也有利于促进外商投资企业的技术外溢效果；山东 半岛投资环境的改善不会主动产生技术溢出，其作用的发挥可能需要与其他 一些因素相结合，要注重对自身吸收能力的培育。这为政府制定正确的引资 政策提供了理论依据。 关键词：山东半岛，外商直接投资，技术溢出，吸收能力 ABSTRACT From 1990s, the technology spillover effects from Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) have been a hot issue in China. Are FDI spillovers really there? What impacts the effects? What can the government do to facilitate the effects? The answers of these questions are important for Shandong penninsula to make correct policies for FDI. The thesis began with the concept of technology spillovers of FDI, then the general theories of technology spillovers of FDI and previous study were discussed .The current situation of FDI in Shandong penninsula was exposited, which established the theoretical basis for the empirical research of FDI spillovers in Shandong penninsula. In the following chapters, a statistical research was carried out, using the metric economic model. The data sets used were panel data set of Shandong peninsula’s 8 cities during 1996 to 2005. First of all, the return model of FDI with the area industry output was set up from the aspect of Shandong penninsula’s 8 cities. By the regression analysis, the result indicated that: the effect of FDI spillovers of Shandong penninsula is positive. Then, the paper discussed the FDI spillovers mechanism from the point of absor