我国东部春季土壤湿度影响夏季降水.pdfVIP

◎ 科研成Sc果ientificAchievements (7)ConductedoperationalexperimentswiththeLightningNowcastingandWarningSystem andevaluatedthe accuracyofthewarningproducts．Theevaluationwasbasedonthecomparison ofpredictedandobservedresultsand ， adoptedProbabilityofDetection(POD)，FalseAlarmsRate(FAR)andTestScore(TS)asevaluationindexes．Through evaluatingseveralthunderstormprocesses．Itisshown：PODof15minexceeds50％．TSupto0． 19．POD of45to60min upto27％．ItmenashtatCAMS．LNWShasgoodforecastingcapabilityforregionallightningactivities．nadtheaccuracy ofwamingproductsachievedhteadvnacedlevelinChina． (8)n CAMS_LNWStookpartintheOlympicmeteorologicalservicesdrillsin2006and2007．Itwasusedto observehtunderstormsniBeijingfromJunetoSeptembernadprovidedwarningproductsintime．FromApriltoOctober in2007，hteLaboratoryofLightningPhysicsnadProtectionEngineering(LLPPE)producedanduploaded335piecesof OlympicLightningForecastingReportsandalsouploadedhundredsofwarn ingproductsto thedata serverFTP． CAMS LNW S achieved theproduction andInternetsharingofthelightningnowcastingandwamingproductsand _ accomplishedourtaskssuccessfully． (9)EvaluationresultsofCAMS—LNWSintheoperationalexperimentsshow：CAMS LNW S hasagood — forecastingnadwarningcapabilityforlightningactivitiesinBeijinganditsnearbyareasandits．warningaccuracyhas achievedhteadvancedleve1．CAM S LNW Sworkssteadilyandprovidesavarietyofproducts．Itcna readmulti—source — detcetnigdataontime，yieldwarningproductsautomaticallyna ddisplaythem repeatedly．Thesystem meetstheneedsof dailyoperationnadprovidesna importanttoolofrweatherforecastersinBeijing． (1O)Carriedouttheoperationaldisseminati0n