风电场风速分布特性的模式分析.pdfVIP

第34 卷 第9 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 34 No. 9 2010 年9 月 Power System Technology Sep. 2010 文章编号：1000-3673 （2010 ）09-0206-05 中图分类号：TM 614 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4047 风电场风速分布特性的模式分析 彭虎，郭钰锋，王松岩，于继来 （哈尔滨工业大学电气工程及自动化学院，黑龙江省 哈尔滨市 150001 ） Pattern Analysis on Characteristics of Wind Speed Distribution in Wind Farms PENG Hu, GUO Yufeng, WANG Songyan, YU Jilai (School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang Province, China) ABSTRACT: At present the analysis on the characteristics of 差异的主要原因，并从风速概率密度和条件风速概率密度分 wind speed distribution, which is generally obtained from the 布中提取出特征风速、形状系数、尺度系数、概率偏度等指 statistic of sampled wind speed data, is mainly serviced to the 标，以考察不同风速分布所表现出的模式差异性。某实际风 wind farm planning or electric energy planning. However, the 电场风速分布特征分析结果表明：从不同角度统计的分布特 characteristics of wind speed distribution serviced to 性存在明显的模式差异性；风速分布特性用于解决不同问题 above-mentioned planning fields cannot fully cope with the 时，需要采用与其对应的统计规律。 demands under new conditions, such as the characteristics of 关键词：风电场；分布特性；模式分析；概率；置信区间 wind speed distribution in shorter time periods, especially in those short time periods related to the operation and control of 0 引言 power grid. Based on different application environments, the patternized differences of characteristics of wind speed 自然风的随机性、波动性和不可控性使风电场 distribution in wind farm and main causes that may lead to the 的输出功率波动很大。当风电穿透功率达到一定比 patternized differences are discussed, and from the probability [1-3]