中国木制家具出口贸易影响因素的实证分析.pdfVIP

年 月 中国林业经济 2010 9 Sep.2010 第 期 总第 期 No．5 (Total 104) 5 ( 104 ) CHINA FORESTRY ECONOMY 誗 调查研究 誗 中国木制家具出口贸易影响因素的实证分析 张春宝，缪东玲 （北京林业大学经济管理学院，北京 100083） 摘 要：近些年来，中国的木制家具出口贸易发展迅猛，与此同时，诸多问题也开始逐渐显现。 在此背景下，先对 中国木制家具出口贸易的整体情况进行了描述，进而通过逐步回归的方法，对可能影响中国木制家具出口的六个指 标进行了实证分析，结果发现：汇率、人均GDP、劳动力成本三个指标影响较为显著。 针对木制家具出口影响因素所 面临的问题，提出了几点建议。 关键词：木制家具；出口贸易；影响因素；逐步回归 中图分类号： 文献标识码： 文章编号： F326.5 A 1673-5919(2010)05-0036-04 The Empirical Analysis of Impact Factor of Chinese Wood Furniture Export Trade ， ZHANG Chun-bao MIAO Dong-ling （College of Economics and Management of Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China ） ： Abstract In recent years, the Chinese export trade of wood furniture has made a great progress; in the meanwhile, lots of problems gradually begin to emerge as well. Under this circumstance, first, the thesis depicted the general situation of Chinese export trade of wood furniture, and then have a empirical analysis for the six variables which may affect the export of Chinese wood furniture largely, finally the results showed the effect of three factors which includes exchange rate and Per capita GDP and labor cost is more evident. The paper, furthermore gave some suggestions concerning the trouble confronted by the influencing factor of Chinese wood furniture export. ： ；