区域经济一体化对FDI影响效应分析——以CAFTA为例.pdf

资的潜力巨大。接下来是对直接投资效应的实证分析，先定量地介绍了中国和东 盟近几年来随着建立中国一东盟自由贸易区后直接投资发生的变化，以及产生的 效应，然后用投资引力模型对这些效应进行验证，得出的结论表明，目前中国～ 东盟自由贸易区对直接投资的经济增长效应比较明显，但对投资转移、创造效应 尤其是创造效应影响不大，对市场扩大效应影响也不大。针对目前中国一东盟自 由贸易区的直接投资效应不明显，提出了相应的对策，以便扩大自由贸易区对直 接投资的影响效应，从而反过来促进自由贸易区的发展。 关键词：区域经济一体化；中国一东盟自由贸易区；直接投资效应 An Ana I ys i s on FD I Effect of Reg i ona I Econom i c I ntegrat i on ——CAFTA for Examp I e Abst ract Today’S world has entered the economic globalization and regional economic integration commonly development time，As the role ofWTO is more and more important，and global flee trade at the same time is more and more important,regional economic cooperation is also carried out in full swing． The European Union，the North American Free Trade Area and other major components by the developed countries of the regional economic integration organizations，although the extent of their integration of different，the important role it played on the region’S economic development especially on FDI is great．Since the 90’S 20th century,China and ASEAN increasingly close bilateral economic and trade exchanges，two—way direct investment flows have become increasingly active．In 2002，China and ASEAN signed the”China-ASEAN framework agreement on comprehensive cooperation”，the two sides decided to go into China-ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2010．ASEAN，China has become an important foreign direct investment in the target country；At the same time，China has a number of ASEAN countries has gradually become an important source of FDI．Although the mutual investment between the late start，the potential of capital flows have not yet fully played out．but with China—ASEAN Free Trade Area of the set up and investment put into effect the provisions of China and ASEAN countries will be economic and trade exchanges closer,mutual investment will be further developed． The theory of regional economic integration direct investment includes static analysis and dynamic analysis．Analysis in this paper,based on the combination of China and ASEAN econo