南京服装业避汇率风险策略的思考.doc

内 容 摘 要 为了深入了解我国服装贸易自2005年自人民币升值以来的贸易状况，有必要选取典型区域来分析汇率对服装业的影响以及如何应对，特别是在当前复杂的国际国内经济形势下，更应对人民币升值对服装出口企业的影响进行全面、系统、深入的梳理，以此为服装企业应对汇率风险提供参考。本文对南京服装企业进行了研究调查，从人民币升值对服装业的出口成本和出口利润率的影响等方面多维度呈现人民币升值对服装业的影响，并从数据和理论上分析南京服装业的变化，系统的分析服装业存在的问题，并就这些问题提出相应的建议。服装业的可持续发展迫切需要一个预警与弥补功能的风险规避系统，为其在WT0环境下生存和发展积聚内力。目前对于服装业来说，不仅要从管理方面等入手来改变，最主要的是得利用各种方式来冲抵汇率变化带来的影响，使南京乃至全国的服装业摆脱目前的困境。关键词：汇率 南京服装业 规避汇率风险ABSTRACT For an in-depth understanding of Chinas garment trade situation since the appreciation of the renminbi in 2005,It is necessary to select the typical regional to analyze t exchange rates impact on the garment industry ,as well as how to deal with it, Especially during the complex international and domestic economic situation, We need pay more attention to the appreciation of the renminbi impact on the garment export enterprise. As a reference for clothing enterprises to avoid exchange rate risks. This article has survey Nanjing clothing enterprises ,from the aspect of RMB appreciation impacting on the export of cost and profit we can see RMB appreciation impacting on the garment industry is serious , from the data and theoretical analyze the change of Nanjing garment industry .I will put forward some suggestions to help them. Garment industrys sustainable development urges to need a system which can prove early warning and make up the risk aversion, it makes them survive and develop in the WT0 environment. At present ,the garment industry, e not only change themselves from management, but also should use of various measures to avoid exchange rate risks. We wish study this to make Nanjing as well as the countrys garment industries get rid of its present difficulties. KEYWORDS：Exchange rate Nanjing garment industry To avoid exchange rate risks正文目录 第一章 引言 1 第一节 选题背景及意义 1 第二节 研究思路 2 第二章 理论基础 3 第一节 汇率理论 3 一、购买力评价说 3 二、利率评价说 3 第二节 比较优势理论 4 第三章 人民币升值对服装贸易所产生的影响 6 第一节 南京服装业的现状及特点 6 一、现状 6 二、特点 7 第二节 人民币升值对服装贸易负面影响 8 一、直接影响 8 二、间接的影响 8 第三节 人民币升值对服装贸易的正面影响 9 一、有利于减少贸易摩擦和改善