ppt课件-e s s261 topicsin magnetospheric physics spring2008（e s s261 topicsin磁性层的物理spring2008）.pptVIP

ESS 261 Topics in Magnetospheric Physics Spring 2008 Forecasting Space Weather Syllabus March 31 Why Study Space Weather? ? April 7 Humans and Space Weather ? April 9 Basics of Magnetic Storms ? April 11 (F) CMEs ? April 14 CIRs April 16 Differences between CME and CIR Storms April 23 Space Weather Forecast Models (Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index, Relativistic Electron Forecast, Wang Sheeley, Total Electron Content model) April 28 Space Weather Forecast Models continued April 30 Introduction to simulation codes ? Grading Each student will be required to make a presentation on a topic related to space weather. – 50% Each student will be required to participate in a group attempt to use existing simulation codes to model a space weather event.- 50% Cartoon of CME Hitting the Earth Space Environment Effects: Surface Charging What would satellite operators do if they had accurate space weather forecasts? Instruments and/or spacecraft turned off or safed Maneuver planning Anomaly assessments Orbit determination accuracy Increased spacecraft and instrument monitoring for health and safety during solar storms Humans in Space Danger to aviation Danger to aviation at lower latitudes WAAS altitude errors North America Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) * May 5 Introduction to MHD models ? May 7 Introduction to CCMC ? May 12 The importance of accurate solar wind ? May 14 ENLIL (solar wind model) ? May 23 (F) Magnetospheric models ? May 28 SEPs at Earth ? May 30 (F) Modeling from the Sun to the Earth June 2 Modeling a CME June 4 Modeling a CME at Earth Lecture 1 Why Study Space Weather? Society has grown very dependent on systems adversely affected by space weather phenomena. A few of the agencies and industries that rely on space weather services today: U.S. power grid infrastructure Commercial airline industry Dep. of Transportation ( GPS) NASA human s