生产性服务业与制造业融合发展与行业差异研究——基于浙江的实证分析.pdfVIP

第 17 -t.第 5 期 2015 年 9 月 科技与管理 Science-Technology and Management 文章编号: 1∞8 -7133(2015)05-∞28 -09 Vol. 17 NO.5 Sept. , 2015 生严性服务业与制造业融合发展与行业差异研究 一一基于浙江的实证分析 陈文鹤， 韩明华 (宁波大学商学院，浙江宁波 315211) 摘 要:利用 1990-2014 年浙江制造业和生产性服务业及其各行业统计数据，通过建立 VAR 模型对制 造业和生产性服务业及其各行业融合发展水平进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:目前浙江生产性服务 业与制造业已经出现了相互融合发展的趋势，但融合水平偏低:同时，浙江生产性服务业内部各行业由 于发展水平及行业特性不同与制造业的融合水平也存在着差异，以信息计算机业为代表的现代生产性 服务业和制造业的融合水平偏低，而以交通运输业为代表的传统生产性服务业和制造业融合水平较离。 据此，提出了转变制造业发展方向、推动制造业中服务业的分离、加快发展现代生产性服务业、坚持双 轮驱动的发展理念等对策建议。 关键词:生产性服务业;制造业;融合发展;行业差异;实证分析 DOI: 10. 16315/j. stm. 2015. 05. ∞5 中图分类号: F062. 9 文献标志码 :A Industry difTerences and integration development of productive services industry and manufacturing industry: based on the empirical analysis of Zhejiang CHEN Wen-he , HAN Ming-hua (Faculty of Business , Ningbo University , Ningbo 315211 ,China) Abstract: Based on relevant industrial data from 1990 to 2014 , the paper makes an empirical analysis on the inter- actions development relation of producer services industry and manufacturing industry in Zhejiang by V AR model. The study reveals that: at present , Zhejiang s producer services industry and manufacturing industry have the trend of integration but in a low level. Meanwhile , due to the different developing levels and characteristics of each pro- ducer services indust巧， their integration levels with manufacturing industry are different. The integration level be- tween modem producer services industry (Computer services industry as a typical one) and manufacturing indust巧 integration level is lower , while integration level between traditional producer services industry (Transport storage services industry as a typical one) anù manufacturing industηintegratíon level is hígher. Accordíngly , this article puts forward to some suggestions of transforming the direction of the manufacturing industry development , promoting the separation of services from manufacturing industry , speeding up the development of modem producer services indust