基于层次灰关联的钢铁行业CO2排放影响因素.pdfVIP

第 28 卷第 4 期 Vol.28 No.4 辽宁工程技术大学学报(自然科学版) 2009 年 8 月 Aug. 2009 Joumal of Liaoning Technical University (Natural Science) 文章编号: 1∞8-0562(2009)04.0656-04 基于层次灰关联的钢铁行业 CO2排放影响因素 张芸，张敬，张树深，刘素玲，游春 (大连理工大学环境与生命学院工业生态与环境工程教育部重点实验室，辽宁大连 116024) 摘 要:为了客观的评价钢铁行业 CO2 排放的影响因素，建立了由工序能耗、燃料组成、技术特征以及资源效 率构成的钢铁工业 CO2 排放影响因素的综合评价指标体系。同时，提出了用于确定影响因素指标权重的层次灰 关联分析组合模型，该方法有效避免了层次分析法中定量指标定性评价的主观性。最后对我国钢铁行业 CO2 排 放的影响因素进行综合评价，结果表明 2 层次灰关联分析方法客观准确、可操作性强。评价结果可以为我国钢铁 行业 CO2 减排方案提供理论支持。 关键词:钢铁工业; CO2排放影响因素:指标体系:层次分析法:灰色关联 中图分类号: X24 文献标识码:A Factors affecting CO2 emission in iron and steel industry based on layered grey relation ZHANG Yun , ZHANG Jing , ZHANG Shushen , LIU Suling , YOU Chun (Key Laborato叮 of Industrial Ecology and Environmental Engineering, MOE, School of Environmental and Biological Science and Technology, Dalian University ofTechnology, Dalian 116024, China) Abstract: In order to objectively evaluate 由e factors that affect the carbon dioxide emission in the iron and steel indus町， a comprehensive evaluation index system was developed based on process energy consumption, fuel constitution, technological characteristics, and resource efficiency. In addition, a layered grey relational analysis model was proposed to determine the wei由ts of those factors, whìch effectìvely avoids 出e su均ectivity of quantitative evaluation in analytical hierarchy process (AHP).ηle case study on a comprehensive evaluation on the influential factors of CO2 emission in iron and steel industry in China showed that the layered grey relational analysis method is objective, accurate, and practical. The results provide a theoretical basis on developing a plan for cutting CO2 emission in the iron and steel industry in China. Key words: iron and steel indus缸y; factors intluencirtg CO2 emission; indicator system; layered analysis method; grey relation 0 引言 由化石燃料燃烧产生的温室气体导致的全球 变暖现象已经被公认为全球环境问题。为解决这个 问题， 2005 年 2 月 16 日正式生效的《京都议定书》 规定，到 2010 年，所有发达国家 cO2等 6 种植富 气体的排放量要比 1990 年减少 5.2%[1 1。我国是《京