主产区农户粮食供给反应差异研究 ——基于粮食品种和农户非农收入视角的分类比较.pdfVIP

湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版) 2016 年 10 月 第 17 卷 第 5 期 Journal of Hunan Agricultural University (Social Sciences), Oct. 2016, 17(5):008–013 DOI: 10.13331/ki.jhau(ss).2016.05.002 主产区农户粮食供给反应差异研究 ——基于粮食品种和农户非农收入视角的分类比较 李娟，武舜臣* (南京财经大学 粮食安全与战略研究中心/江苏省现代粮食流通与安全协同创新中心，江苏南京 210023) 摘 要：基于中国 2004—2013 年统计数据，在分品种考察主要粮食作物(大豆、玉米、稻谷及小麦)主产省(区)农 户粮食生产对价格和收益反应差异的基础上，进一步按非农收入比重分组考察了高农业收入占比组与低农业收入 占比组省份的反应差异。结果显示：各品种粮食生产都存在较强惯性，且高农业收入组的生产惯性强于低农业收 入组；成本因素对粮食生产存在显著阻碍作用；从长短期弹性看，各粮食品种高农业收入占比组价格和收益对播 种面积的影响均高于低农业收入占比组。 关 键 词：农户；非农收入；粮食生产；供给反应；差异 中图分类号：F326.11 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1009-2013(2016)05-0008-06 The difference of supply response on grain production of farmers in main grain producing provinces: Based on the comparison of grain varieties and non agricultural income LI Juan, WU Shunchen* (Center for Food Security and Strategic Studies of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics/ Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Grain Circulation and Safety, Nanjing 210023, China) Abstract: Based on the statistics data from 2004 to 2013 and the analysis of differences in price and income responses of grain production in the main producing provinces of major grain crops (soybean, maize, rice and wheat), this paper divides samples into groups according to the rate of non-agricultural income in the whole family-run and analyzes the different responses between high agricultural income groups and low agricultural income groups. The results show that there is strong inertia on each of grain varieties production and the in