西北太平洋热带气旋发源特征与突变初步分析.pdfVIP

Preliminary analysis of originated characteristics and abrupt changes of tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific XU Chang-San袁 CAO Bing袁 GAO Xin-xin袁 GAO Qing-qing 渊Nantong Marine Environmental Monitoring Center袁 SOA袁Nantong 226005袁 China冤 Abstract：The Best Track Data of the Japan Meteorological Agency RSMC Tokyo-Typhoon Center from 1977 to 2011渊35 years in total冤 were used to investigate the origination and abrupt change of tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific. The result showed that院渊1冤Tropical cyclones mainly had two birthplaces. One was the area east to the Philippines in the range of 125毅-134毅E袁 11毅-21毅N曰 the other one was the northern part of the South China Sea in the range of 111毅-119毅E袁14毅-21毅N. 渊2冤Higher the level of the tropical cyclone was, larger the originated longitude was and lower the originated latitude was. 渊3冤August was the most frequent month of generatting tropical cyclones, which was the same for tropical storms袁 severe tropical storms and typhoons while September for severe typhoons and October for super typhoons. 渊4冤 The duration袁 accumulated cyclone energy and power dissipation index of tropical cyclones were all proportional to the generating longitude, and density peaks were all near 170毅E in the Marshall Islands. 渊5冤We found that there were abrupt changes within 1995 and 1998 by sliding t -test of the numbers of tropical cyclones袁 duration袁 accumulated cyclone energy and power dissipation index袁 which also proved the existence of the abrupt change interval from 1995 to 1998. Keywords院 tropical cyclone曰 Northwest Pacific曰 frequency曰 accumulated cyclone energy渊ACE冤曰 abrupt change 西北太平洋热带气旋发源特征与突变初步分析 徐常三，曹兵，高鑫鑫，高清清 （国家海洋局南通海洋环境监测中心站，江苏 南通 226005） 摘 要：采用日本气象厅东京台风中心最佳台风路径数据集 1977-2011年共 35年的资料对西北太平洋热带气旋的发源情况 和突变进行了研究分析。结果表明： （1）热带气旋发源地主要集中在两个地方，一个是菲律宾以东海域 125-134毅E、11毅- 21毅N范围内，另一个是南中国海北部海域 111毅-119毅E、14毅-21毅N范围内；（2）热带气旋的等级越高，其生成的经度越大， 纬度越低；（3）热带气旋生成最多的月份是 8月，热带风暴、强热带风暴和台风均以 8月份最多，而强台风生成最多的月 份是 9月，超强台风生成最多的月份则是 10月；（4）热带气旋的生命长度、