Data-based discharge extrapolation estimating annual discharge for a partially gauged large river basin from its small sub-basins.docVIP

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Data-based discharge extrapolation estimating annual discharge for a partially gauged large river basin from its small sub-basins.doc

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Data-based discharge extrapolation estimating annual discharge for a partially gauged large river basin from its small sub-basins

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,9,6829–6856,2012 /9/6829/2012/ doi:10.5194/hessd-9-6829-2012 Hydrology and EarthSystem Sciences HESSD ?Author(s)2012.CCAttribution3.0License. Discussions 9,6829–6856,2012 Thisdiscussionpaperis/hasbeenunderreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarthSystem Sciences(HESS).Pleaserefertothecorresponding?nalpaperinHESSifavailable. Data-based discharge extrapolation Data-baseddischargeextrapolation: estimatingannualdischargeforapartially gaugedlargeriverbasinfromitssmall sub-basins L.Gong TitlePage Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures L.Gong DepartmentofPhysicalGeographyandQuaternaryGeology,StockholmUniversity, Stockholm,Sweden J J I I BertBolinCentreforClimateResearch,StockholmUniversity,Stockholm,Sweden DepartmentofGeosciences,UniversityofOslo,Oslo,Norway Back Close FullScreen/Esc Received:29March2012–Accepted:17May2012–Published:1June2012 Correspondenceto:L.Gong(lebing@) Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion PublishedbyCopernicusPublicationsonbehalfoftheEuropeanGeosciencesUnion. 6829 Abstract HESSD Large-scale hydrological models and land surface models are by far the only tools foraccessingfuturewaterresourcesinclimatechangeimpactstudies.Thosemodels estimate discharge with large uncertainties, due to the complex interaction between climate and hydrology, the limited quality and availability of data, as well as model uncertainties.Anewpurelydata-basedscale-extrapolationmethodisproposed,toes- timatewaterresourcesforalargebasinsolelyfromselectedsmallsub-basins,which aretypicallytwo-orders-of-magnitudesmallerthanthelargebasin.Thosesmallsub- basins contain su?cient information, not only on climate and land surface, but also 9,6829–6856,2012 Data-based discharge extrapolation 5 L.Gong 10 on hydrological characteristics for the large basin In the Baltic Sea drainage basin, best discharge estimation for the gauged area was achieved with sub-basins that cover2–4%ofthegaugedarea.Thereexistmultiplesetsofsub-basinsthatre