Analyzing the Dynamics of a Rumor Transmission Model with Incubation英文文献资料.docVIP

HindawiPublishingCorporation DiscreteDynamicsinNatureandSociety Volume2012,ArticleID328151,21pages doi:10.1155/2012/328151 ResearchArticle AnalyzingtheDynamicsofaRumorTransmission ModelwithIncubation Liang’anHuo, PeiqingHuang, andChun-xiangGuo 1 1 2 1AntaiCollegeofEconomics andManagement, ShanghaiJiaoTongUniversity,Shanghai200052,China 2BusinessSchoolofSichuanUniversity,Chengdu610065,China Correspondence shouldbeaddressedtoLiang’anHuo,huohuolin@ Received9November 2011;Accepted 3January2012 Academic Editor:HassanA.El-Morshedy Copyright q2012Liang’anHuoetal.Thisisanopenaccessarticledistributed undertheCreative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use,distribution, andreproduction in anymedium,providedtheoriginalworkisproperlycited. This paper considers a rumor transmission model with incubation that incorporates constant recruitment and has infectious force in the latent period and infected period. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we use the geometric approach for ordinary di?erential equations which is based on the use of higher-order generalization of Bendixson’s criterion. It shows that either the number of rumor infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Weprove that thetranscritical bifurcation occurs atR0 crosses thebifurcation threshold R0  1byprojecting the?ow onto theextended center manifold. Since therumor endemic level atthe equilibrium isacontinuous function of R0,as aconsequence for successful eradication of the rumor, one should simply reduce R0 continuously below the threshold value 1. Finally, the obtainedresultsarenumerically validatedandthendiscussedfromboththemathematical andthe sociological perspectives. 1.Introduction Rumorisanimportantformofsocialinteraction,anditsspreadinghasasigni?cantimpact onhumanlives.Hayakawa1de?nesrumorasak