Estimating the Burden of Malaria The Need for Improved Surveillance 英文参考文献.docVIP

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Estimating the Burden of Malaria The Need for Improved Surveillance 英文参考文献.doc

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Estimating the Burden of Malaria The Need for Improved Surveillance 英文参考文献

Perspective EstimatingtheBurdenofMalaria:TheNeedforImproved Surveillance IvoMueller1,2*,LaurenceSlutsker3,MarcelTanner4 1Barcelona Centre for International Health Research (CRESIB), Barcelona, Spain, 2Walter Eliza Hall Institute, Parkville, Victoria, Australia, 3Center for Global Health, CentersofDiseaseControlandPrevention,Atlanta,Georgia,UnitedStatesofAmerica,4SwissTropicalPublicHealthInstitute,Basel,Switzerland Overthepastdecade there hasbeena massive scale-up ofantimalarial interven- tions including insecticide-treated nets based estimates is dependent upon the quality and coverage of the surveillance system, and in many malaria-endemic LinkedResearchArticle This Perspective discusses the fol- lowingnewstudypublishedinPLoS Medicine: (ITNs), artemisinin-combination treat- areas, current surveillance efforts are incomplete and very slow. Model-based, ments (ACTs), and rapid-diagnostic tests (RDTs), and in selected areas, indoor residual spraying. This scale-up is begin- ning to have a significant impact on the burden of malaria in many areas world- wide. In the most recent World Malaria Report[1],theWorldHealthOrganization (WHO) estimated that in 2010 there was an 8% decrease in the number of cases (compared with 2005) and a 21% de- creaseinthenumberofdeaths(compared with 2000). Against this backdrop of cartographic approaches can estimate CibulskisRE,AregawiM,WilliamsR, Otten M, Dye C (2011) Worldwide IncidenceofMalaria:Estimates,Time Trends, and a Critique of Methods. PLoS Med 8(12): e1001142. doi:10. 1371/journal.pmed.1001142 burden in areas where (routine) surveil- lance is of poor quality and/or coverage e.g.,wheremostfevercasesaretreatedin theprivatesector.Becausesurveyandcase incidence studies are costly to conduct, cartographic models use data collected over longer time framesand are thusless wellsuitedfortrackingrapid,year-to-year changesinmalariaburden.Inaddition,in areaswithpoordatacoverage,theymake inferenceoflargegeographicalareasbased on f